中国人口资源与环境
中國人口資源與環境
중국인구자원여배경
China Polulation.Resources and Environment
2010年
5期
28~34
,共null页
孙建卫 陈志刚 赵荣钦 黄贤金 赖力
孫建衛 陳誌剛 趙榮欽 黃賢金 賴力
손건위 진지강 조영흠 황현금 뢰력
碳足迹 投入产出 碳排放 影响力 感应力 中国
碳足跡 投入產齣 碳排放 影響力 感應力 中國
탄족적 투입산출 탄배방 영향력 감응력 중국
carbon footprint; input-output; carbon emission; infection; inductivity; China
结合IPCC的清单方法对中国历年碳排放进行了核算，以区域投入产出分析为基础，对生产我国满足国民经济最终消费的产品（服务）量所需要的直接或间接碳排放量进行了分析，并对碳排放足迹及各部门之间的碳关联进行了分析。结论如下：①中国2002年碳排放足迹为176528．10万t。人均碳足迹为1．37426t/人。其中大部分源于国内最终使用的排放。②从足迹类型上看，中国属于价值量顺差与碳排放足迹逆差共存型。即碳排放净输入国。贸易额增长对碳排放足迹的增加有较大的促进作用。③制造业、电力、热力行业与农业的排放足迹占到了总排放足迹的80％以上，是对碳排放依赖程度较大的产业部门。④足迹影响力分析显示．电力、热力行业占据了碳排放足迹需求的强势地位；足迹感应力分析表明，国民经济及其相关产业对电力、热力行业和制造驶碳排放的拉动力最大。
結閤IPCC的清單方法對中國歷年碳排放進行瞭覈算，以區域投入產齣分析為基礎，對生產我國滿足國民經濟最終消費的產品（服務）量所需要的直接或間接碳排放量進行瞭分析，併對碳排放足跡及各部門之間的碳關聯進行瞭分析。結論如下：①中國2002年碳排放足跡為176528．10萬t。人均碳足跡為1．37426t/人。其中大部分源于國內最終使用的排放。②從足跡類型上看，中國屬于價值量順差與碳排放足跡逆差共存型。即碳排放淨輸入國。貿易額增長對碳排放足跡的增加有較大的促進作用。③製造業、電力、熱力行業與農業的排放足跡佔到瞭總排放足跡的80％以上，是對碳排放依賴程度較大的產業部門。④足跡影響力分析顯示．電力、熱力行業佔據瞭碳排放足跡需求的彊勢地位；足跡感應力分析錶明，國民經濟及其相關產業對電力、熱力行業和製造駛碳排放的拉動力最大。
결합IPCC적청단방법대중국력년탄배방진행료핵산，이구역투입산출분석위기출，대생산아국만족국민경제최종소비적산품（복무）량소수요적직접혹간접탄배방량진행료분석，병대탄배방족적급각부문지간적탄관련진행료분석。결론여하：①중국2002년탄배방족적위176528．10만t。인균탄족적위1．37426t/인。기중대부분원우국내최종사용적배방。②종족적류형상간，중국속우개치량순차여탄배방족적역차공존형。즉탄배방정수입국。무역액증장대탄배방족적적증가유교대적촉진작용。③제조업、전력、열역행업여농업적배방족적점도료총배방족적적80％이상，시대탄배방의뢰정도교대적산업부문。④족적영향력분석현시．전력、열역행업점거료탄배방족적수구적강세지위；족적감응력분석표명，국민경제급기상관산업대전력、열역행업화제조사탄배방적랍동력최대。
Integrating the result of China＇s carbon emission calculation, based on regional input-output model, this article analyzed the direct and indirect carbon emission of the products that are produced to meet the ultimate consumption of national economy, and studied the carbon footprint and the carbon relation among each sector. The conclusions are as following： OThere are great carbon footprint in China. The carbon footprint of China in 2002 was 176 528.10×10^4t, and the per capita carbon footprint was 1.374 26t, the main part of which originated from domestic consumption. （1）In the view of footprint types, China belongs to the type of coexistence of surplus on magnitude of value and trade deficit on carbon emission footprint; i.e., China is a net carbon emission importing country. Volume of trade greatly promotes the increase of carbon emission footprint. （2）With a carbon footprint proportion of 80%, manufacturing, electric and heat power and agriculture were industrial sectors that greatly depended on carbon emission. （3）Carbon footprint infection showed that electric and heat pewer has the biggest demand of carbon emission footprint, and the carbon footprint inductivity manifested that the driving force of national economy and related industries on carbon emission of electric and heat power and manufacturing is the biggest.
