金融研究
金融研究
금융연구
Journal of Financial Research
2010年
4期
29~39
,共null页
能源运输 社会成本 宏观经济影响
能源運輸 社會成本 宏觀經濟影響
능원운수 사회성본 굉관경제영향
energy transportation, social cost, macro-economic impact
能源运输已成为中国经济中一个脆弱的环节,构建现代综合能源运输体系成为当务之急。所谓的现代综合能源运输体系即在基本输送功能之外还要肩负能源、环境资源优化配置的职能。本文通过构建多指数运输模型,得出一定电力传输比例下最合理的能源输送体系。该体系的实现需要改变现有电力布局原则,提高区域问输电比例。之后通过CGE模型进行模拟,发现提高输电比例可以促进经济发展,降低能源强度和排放,从而有助于节能减排目标的实现。
能源運輸已成為中國經濟中一箇脆弱的環節,構建現代綜閤能源運輸體繫成為噹務之急。所謂的現代綜閤能源運輸體繫即在基本輸送功能之外還要肩負能源、環境資源優化配置的職能。本文通過構建多指數運輸模型,得齣一定電力傳輸比例下最閤理的能源輸送體繫。該體繫的實現需要改變現有電力佈跼原則,提高區域問輸電比例。之後通過CGE模型進行模擬,髮現提高輸電比例可以促進經濟髮展,降低能源彊度和排放,從而有助于節能減排目標的實現。
능원운수이성위중국경제중일개취약적배절,구건현대종합능원운수체계성위당무지급。소위적현대종합능원운수체계즉재기본수송공능지외환요견부능원、배경자원우화배치적직능。본문통과구건다지수운수모형,득출일정전력전수비례하최합리적능원수송체계。해체계적실현수요개변현유전력포국원칙,제고구역문수전비례。지후통과CGE모형진행모의,발현제고수전비례가이촉진경제발전,강저능원강도화배방,종이유조우절능감배목표적실현。
Energy transport has become a weak link in China% economy, it's a matter of great urgency to build an advanced and integrative energy transportation system which implies optimizing energy and environment re- source, in addition to its basic function of energy transportation. By building a multiple index transport model, we can get a transportation system under a fixed proportion of power transportation. The system requires some changes of exiting principles of electricity allocation, and increases the proportion of power transmission between different regions. With simulations of a CGE model, we conclude that increasing the proportion of power trans- mission is beneficial to economic growth, reduction of energy intensity and emission, and therefore supporting realization of the targets of energy conservation and emission reduction.