CAJ | 학술논문

通过对2005-2008年间中国与主要贸易伙伴的面板数据分析发现,影响中国与贸易伙伴双边贸易状况的主要原因并不是汇率,而是贸易伙伴国内经济状况。在全球发展不平衡的大背景下,需要贸易双方对国内经济结构与发展模式进行调整,才能促进国际贸易平衡。而仅靠汇率手段不仅无法解决根本问题,反而可能引发更大的世界经济不稳定。
통과대2005-2008년간중국여주요무역화반적면판수거분석발현,영향중국여무역화반쌍변무역상황적주요원인병불시회솔,이시무역화반국내경제상황。재전구발전불평형적대배경하,수요무역쌍방대국내경제결구여발전모식진행조정,재능촉진국제무역평형。이부고회솔수단불부무법해결근본문제,반이가능인발경대적세계경제불은정。
Analysis with the panel data of China＇s major trading partners, We found the RMB exchange rate dose not the main reason of the situation of bilateral trade, but the GNI has important affect at the situation of bilateral trade. In the case of global imbalances, both of trading partners need to adjust domestic economic structure and development model, in order to promote international trade balance. Individual recourse to the exchange rate tool can not solve the fundamental problem, and may lead to greater instability in the world economy