财贸研究
財貿研究
재무연구
Finance and Trade Research
2010年
3期
100~109
,共null页
股指期货 波动 系统性风险 正反馈交易
股指期貨 波動 繫統性風險 正反饋交易
고지기화 파동 계통성풍험 정반궤교역
stock index futures; volatility; system risk; positive feedback trading
以全球多个市场作为实证检验对象,从股市波动率变化、系统风险变化以及股市正反馈交易行为影响三个角度,分析股指期货市场稳定作用的含义,即对股市波动的影响及其作用表现,较为全面地解读股指期货的市场稳定作用。研究发现:三个角度都支持股指期货的市场稳定作用;而抑制正反馈交易的作用最为基础、直接和显著,是股指期货市场稳定作用的更为恰当的判断标准。
以全毬多箇市場作為實證檢驗對象,從股市波動率變化、繫統風險變化以及股市正反饋交易行為影響三箇角度,分析股指期貨市場穩定作用的含義,即對股市波動的影響及其作用錶現,較為全麵地解讀股指期貨的市場穩定作用。研究髮現:三箇角度都支持股指期貨的市場穩定作用;而抑製正反饋交易的作用最為基礎、直接和顯著,是股指期貨市場穩定作用的更為恰噹的判斷標準。
이전구다개시장작위실증검험대상,종고시파동솔변화、계통풍험변화이급고시정반궤교역행위영향삼개각도,분석고지기화시장은정작용적함의,즉대고시파동적영향급기작용표현,교위전면지해독고지기화적시장은정작용。연구발현:삼개각도도지지고지기화적시장은정작용;이억제정반궤교역적작용최위기출、직접화현저,시고지기화시장은정작용적경위흡당적판단표준。
From the perspectives of volatility,system risk and positive feedback trading of stocks market,this paper makes empirical analysis on indexes in different markets,and analyzes the stock index futures market's function of stabilizing the underlying spot markets,including its effect on stocks market's volatility and its function mechanism.This paper finds that the results by the three methods all support stock index futures′ stabilization function and the effect of restraining positive feedback trading is most basic,most direct and most observable in three kinds of research,which is the criterion of stock index futures market′s stabilization function.