CAJ | 학술논문

首先分析了中国木材进口与世界森林资源减少的数据,认为中国木材进口与世界森林资源的减少有一定的关联。为了客观认识中国木材进口与世界森林资源减少的关系,本研究通过分析认为中国木材进口快速增长发生在世界森林资源减少趋缓的时间段内,且通过对世界主要木材进口国木材进口数据的分析,发现中国不是世界上进口木材最多的国家,通过协整分析和格兰杰因果检验,发现中国原木进口的增长源于世界市场对中国木质林产品需求的拉动,因此中国不是世界森林资源的＂黑洞＂。
수선분석료중국목재진구여세계삼림자원감소적수거,인위중국목재진구여세계삼림자원적감소유일정적관련。위료객관인식중국목재진구여세계삼림자원감소적관계,본연구통과분석인위중국목재진구쾌속증장발생재세계삼림자원감소추완적시간단내,차통과대세계주요목재진구국목재진구수거적분석,발현중국불시세계상진구목재최다적국가,통과협정분석화격란걸인과검험,발현중국원목진구적증장원우세계시장대중국목질림산품수구적랍동,인차중국불시세계삼림자원적＂흑동＂。
To know the impact that China imported a large amount woods from the world objectively,this research analyses the data of Chinese wood import volume and world forest resources degeneration degree,and thinks China has responsibility to world forest resources degeneration.This research finds the thing that China imported a large amount woods from the world is happened at this time that forest resources degeneration tends towards good.This research also analyses the data of main countries in importing wood from world,and finds that China is not the country that importing the most amount of wood from world.This research uses the theory of EG and Granger cause test,and thinks reason that the increase of Chinese wood import volume is the needs of timber forest products which come from others countries.So the conclusion of this research is that China is not the＂black hole＂of world forest.