首都体育学院学报
首都體育學院學報
수도체육학원학보
Journal of Capital College of Physical Education
2010年
4期
76~79
,共null页
粗糙集 1万m跑 成绩 预测
粗糙集 1萬m跑 成績 預測
조조집 1만m포 성적 예측
rough set theory; 10 000 m; performance; forecasting
运用文献资料、专家访谈和粗糙集权重确定等方法,对1999—2005年甘肃省体工队中长跑队员训练和比赛中的最好成绩进行粗糙集权重分析,结果表明:影响10 000 m成绩的关键指标是公路10 km和周弓箭步总量;并且从属性决策中得出了5条确定性预测规则。目的在于教练员依据运动员的成绩发展水平提供一个科学训练的方法和手段,为教练员最优控制训练过程提供有效参考。
運用文獻資料、專傢訪談和粗糙集權重確定等方法,對1999—2005年甘肅省體工隊中長跑隊員訓練和比賽中的最好成績進行粗糙集權重分析,結果錶明:影響10 000 m成績的關鍵指標是公路10 km和週弓箭步總量;併且從屬性決策中得齣瞭5條確定性預測規則。目的在于教練員依據運動員的成績髮展水平提供一箇科學訓練的方法和手段,為教練員最優控製訓練過程提供有效參攷。
운용문헌자료、전가방담화조조집권중학정등방법,대1999—2005년감숙성체공대중장포대원훈련화비새중적최호성적진행조조집권중분석,결과표명:영향10 000 m성적적관건지표시공로10 km화주궁전보총량;병차종속성결책중득출료5조학정성예측규칙。목적재우교련원의거운동원적성적발전수평제공일개과학훈련적방법화수단,위교련원최우공제훈련과정제공유효삼고。
Through using the method of literature review, expert interviews and rough and weight determined methods, this paper made rough weight re-analysis on long and middle distance runner's best performanee in training and competition in sports team in Gansu province from 1999 to 2005. The result showed that the critical indicators influencing 10 000 m performance were road 10 km and total week lunge. The decision-making derived from the property five deterministic prediction rules. The main purpose was to make the scientific training plan based on performance developing level of athletes and provide effective reference for coach's optimal control for training process.