南京人口管理干部学院学报
南京人口管理榦部學院學報
남경인구관리간부학원학보
Journal of Nanjing College for Population Programme Management
2010年
3期
37~41
,共null页
经济增长 人口增长 环境质量 库兹涅茨曲线 环境污染 环境保护
經濟增長 人口增長 環境質量 庫玆涅茨麯線 環境汙染 環境保護
경제증장 인구증장 배경질량 고자열자곡선 배경오염 배경보호
Economic Growth; Population Increase; Environmental Quality; Kuznets Curve; Environmental Pollution; Environmental Protection
采用昆山市1991-2007年人口、经济相关数据,对昆山市人口、经济发展现状和环境质量进行了库兹涅茨曲线拟合分析,发现昆山市目前工业废水排放量、工业废气排放量分别与经济增长呈倒N型和正N型曲线关系,工业固体废物排放方面则不存在明显曲线,人口增长速度较快但对环境影响不明显。这说明昆山市目前已进入人口、经济增长与环境质量关系转折的关键点,转折的实现需要积极的环境政策响应。
採用昆山市1991-2007年人口、經濟相關數據,對昆山市人口、經濟髮展現狀和環境質量進行瞭庫玆涅茨麯線擬閤分析,髮現昆山市目前工業廢水排放量、工業廢氣排放量分彆與經濟增長呈倒N型和正N型麯線關繫,工業固體廢物排放方麵則不存在明顯麯線,人口增長速度較快但對環境影響不明顯。這說明昆山市目前已進入人口、經濟增長與環境質量關繫轉摺的關鍵點,轉摺的實現需要積極的環境政策響應。
채용곤산시1991-2007년인구、경제상관수거,대곤산시인구、경제발전현상화배경질량진행료고자열자곡선의합분석,발현곤산시목전공업폐수배방량、공업폐기배방량분별여경제증장정도N형화정N형곡선관계,공업고체폐물배방방면칙불존재명현곡선,인구증장속도교쾌단대배경영향불명현。저설명곤산시목전이진입인구、경제증장여배경질량관계전절적관건점,전절적실현수요적겁적배경정책향응。
Using the demographic and economic data of Kunshan City from 1991 to 2007,the study modeled through Kuznets curve the city＇s population and economic development and its environmental quality,finding that the city＇s current industrial emissions of wastewater showed the inverted N-shaped curve with the city＇s economic growth and exhaust gas showed the N-shaped curve with it,while solid wastes didn＇t generate obvious up and down concave shaped curves;population growth was relatively faster but didn＇t have significant effect on the environment.The findings indicate that the city is now in a turning period in which a transition of population,economic growth and environmental quality is to take place,which requires a positive policy for the environment.
