社会
社會
사회
Society
2010年
4期
91~117
,共null页
内生性 因果效应 社会互动
內生性 因果效應 社會互動
내생성 인과효응 사회호동
endogeneity, causal effects, social interaction
因果关系是社会学分析的核心议题。然而，基于调查数据的定量分析都会受到内生性问题的困扰，从而往往难以作出恰当的因果性推断。大量现有的社会学定量分析虽以解释为己任，但实质上要么仅仅停留在描述统计相关阶段，要么得出错误的因果性结论。本文以社会互动研究为例，详细讨论了遗漏偏误、自选择偏误、样本选择偏误和联立性偏误等四种主要的内生性问题的来源，并介绍了克服内生性问题的一系列模型识别方法。最后还基于中国综合调查（CGSS2003）问卷，提出了通过提高调查数据詹息量以利克服内生性问题的可能性，
因果關繫是社會學分析的覈心議題。然而，基于調查數據的定量分析都會受到內生性問題的睏擾，從而往往難以作齣恰噹的因果性推斷。大量現有的社會學定量分析雖以解釋為己任，但實質上要麽僅僅停留在描述統計相關階段，要麽得齣錯誤的因果性結論。本文以社會互動研究為例，詳細討論瞭遺漏偏誤、自選擇偏誤、樣本選擇偏誤和聯立性偏誤等四種主要的內生性問題的來源，併介紹瞭剋服內生性問題的一繫列模型識彆方法。最後還基于中國綜閤調查（CGSS2003）問捲，提齣瞭通過提高調查數據詹息量以利剋服內生性問題的可能性，
인과관계시사회학분석적핵심의제。연이，기우조사수거적정량분석도회수도내생성문제적곤우，종이왕왕난이작출흡당적인과성추단。대량현유적사회학정량분석수이해석위기임，단실질상요요부부정류재묘술통계상관계단，요요득출착오적인과성결론。본문이사회호동연구위례，상세토론료유루편오、자선택편오、양본선택편오화련립성편오등사충주요적내생성문제적래원，병개소료극복내생성문제적일계렬모형식별방법。최후환기우중국종합조사（CGSS2003）문권，제출료통과제고조사수거첨식량이리극복내생성문제적가능성，
Cause-effect relationships are the core area in sociological analysis. However, sociological analysis based on survey data is confronted by the endogeneity problem which plagues causal inferences. Many existing studies aiming at providing explanations for social phenomena either merely describes the statistical associations among variables or arrives at problematic causal conclusions. Focusing on the social interaction studies, this paper addresses the major sources of potential endogeneity biases, namely, the omitted variable bias, self-selection bias, sample-selection bias and the simultaneity bias. Useful model identification strategies for correcting these problems are reviewed. Based on CGSS2003, this paper also discusses how to partially correct for the endogeneity problem through augmenting the volume of survey data.
