CAJ | 학술논문

运用SVAR技术建立SVAR（3）模型，探讨我国技术创新、R＆D、科研人员和“市场换技术”制度之间的短期与长期关系。研究发现：除了R＆D、科研人员之外，“FDI制度”是影响我国技术创新的另一个重要资源。短期内“FDI制度”通过市场替代机制改变了R＆D、科研人员投入的激励机制，导致部分内资企业偏好引进技术的短期行为，抑制了自主创新，但长期内“FDI制度”带来的外资竞争和技术外溢效应促进了技术创新；技术创新与R＆D两者互为因果、自我加强，科研成果对科研人员的反向激励和拉动作用不明显，“FDI制度”促进了R＆D投入；技术创新的规模报酬递减，R＆D是技术创新持续增长的主要保障。
운용SVAR기술건립SVAR（3）모형，탐토아국기술창신、R＆D、과연인원화“시장환기술”제도지간적단기여장기관계。연구발현：제료R＆D、과연인원지외，“FDI제도”시영향아국기술창신적령일개중요자원。단기내“FDI제도”통과시장체대궤제개변료R＆D、과연인원투입적격려궤제，도치부분내자기업편호인진기술적단기행위，억제료자주창신，단장기내“FDI제도”대래적외자경쟁화기술외일효응촉진료기술창신；기술창신여R＆D량자호위인과、자아가강，과연성과대과연인원적반향격려화랍동작용불명현，“FDI제도”촉진료R＆D투입；기술창신적규모보수체감，R＆D시기술창신지속증장적주요보장。
This article applies SVAR technology to build a SVAR（3） model, discussing the short-term and long- term relations between technological innovation, R＆D, researchers and system of ＂Exchange Market for Technology＂. Studies show that： first, other than R＆D and researchers, system of ＂Exchange Market for Technology＂ is another important resource influencing technological innovation in China. In the short term, the system of ＂Exchange Market for Technology＂ changes the incentive mechanism of technological innovation investment through market substitution mechanism, which leads to part of domestic enterprises preference to introduce technology and suppress independent innovation. But in the long term, the technology spillover effects of FDI that the system brings about promote technological innovation. Second, there is a reciprocal causation and interactive relationship between technological innovation and R＆D, but reverse incentive and pulling function of the achievements in scientific research for the researcher growth is not obvious. System of ＂Exchange Market for Technology＂ accelerates R＆D investment. Third, technological innovation exhibits diminishing returns to scale, and R＆D is the major guarantee of the sustainable technological innovation growth.