CAJ | 학술논문

根据技术创新项目决策的特点,提出了一种集成的决策分析方法：模糊层次逼近理想点法（FH-TOP-SIS）。首先,在综合考虑风险和收益两大因素的基础上构建技术创新项目的评价指标体系;然后,将层次分析法（AHP）和逼近理想点法（TOPSIS）有机结合起来评价项目的优劣;最后,通过应用实例说明新方法的可行性和有效性。FH-TOPSIS评价方法不仅吸收了AHP法和TOPSIS法的优点,而且可以针对准则权重进行敏感性分析。该方法为技术创新项目风险-收益分析提供了一种新的分析途径。
근거기술창신항목결책적특점,제출료일충집성적결책분석방법：모호층차핍근이상점법（FH-TOP-SIS）。수선,재종합고필풍험화수익량대인소적기출상구건기술창신항목적평개지표체계;연후,장층차분석법（AHP）화핍근이상점법（TOPSIS）유궤결합기래평개항목적우렬;최후,통과응용실례설명신방법적가행성화유효성。FH-TOPSIS평개방법불부흡수료AHP법화TOPSIS법적우점,이차가이침대준칙권중진행민감성분석。해방법위기술창신항목풍험-수익분석제공료일충신적분석도경。
According to the characteristics of decision-making of technology innovation projects,an integrated decision analysis method is proposed which is called Fuzzy Hierarchical Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution（FH-TOPSIS） .Firstly,based on synthetically considering two main factors,risks and benefits,the index system is established for the evaluation of technology innovation projects.Secondly,the analytic hierarchy process（AHP） and the TOPSIS method are integrated to evaluate projects.At last,an application example demonstrates the feasibility and effectiveness of the method FH-TOPSIS.The evaluation method FHTOPSIS not only absorbs advantages of AHP and TOPSIS,but also is able to conduct sensitivity analysis about weights of criteria.The proposed method provides a new way to analyze the risks and benefits for technology innovation projects.