CAJ | 학술논문

国内外加工贸易的发展经验表明，加工贸易对经济增长具有重要的推动作用。文章基于1981～2008年我国加工贸易与经济增长数据的长期动态关系的实证研究发现：中国加工贸易对经济增长具有较大的促进作用，但经济增长对加工贸易规模增长的贡献较小，且存在着初期效应明显与后期效应弱化的现象。对后者的一个可能的解释是：经济增长引致要素禀赋结构升级，从而改变了我国加工贸易在全球价值链中的位置，加工贸易正处于转型升级中。最后勾勒出加工贸易与经济增长互动发展的机理。
국내외가공무역적발전경험표명，가공무역대경제증장구유중요적추동작용。문장기우1981～2008년아국가공무역여경제증장수거적장기동태관계적실증연구발현：중국가공무역대경제증장구유교대적촉진작용，단경제증장대가공무역규모증장적공헌교소，차존재착초기효응명현여후기효응약화적현상。대후자적일개가능적해석시：경제증장인치요소품부결구승급，종이개변료아국가공무역재전구개치련중적위치，가공무역정처우전형승급중。최후구륵출가공무역여경제증장호동발전적궤리。
The development experience of processing trade at home and abroad shows that processing trade has an important role in promoting economic growth. Based on the empirical study on the long time dynamic correlation between processing trade and economic growth during the period of 1981 to 2008, the paper finds that China＇s processing trade has a greater effect on the promotion of economic growth, but economic growth has a smaller contribution to the scale of processing trade, with the phenomenon that the effect is obvious during the early stages and weakening during the later stages. A possible explanation for the latter is that economic growth changes the position of China＇s processing trade in the global value chain by upgrading the factor endowment; processing trade is currently in the stage of transformation and upgrading. Finally, it outlines the mechanism of the interactive development between processing trade and economic growth.