CAJ | 학술논문

为明确城市能源系统状况,需对城市能源体系进行全面而细致的了解,本文在全面分析城市能源系统的基础上,建立了城市能源系统能源流动图,并对其进行简化建立适合建模的简化模型。进而对城市能源系统进行研究,归纳出城市能源系统的影响指标。然后利用层次分析法筛选出其中对评价对象辨别能力较强的关键因素,结合相应环境因素,建立了能够全面反映城市能源系统的综合评价指标体系。本文首次将模糊综合评价模型引入到能源评价体系权重确定中来,建立了多级城市能源系统综合评价指标体系模糊综合评价模型。通过对北京市2000-2007年相关能源数据进行实证分析,结果表明所建评价体系能够根据优化权重结果找出评价对象问题所在,加大评价对象的差异性,放大评价对象间的对比程度,使得评价结果更加明显;同时和等权重计算结果比较分析发现,优化后的评价结果更加合理,并更加接近城市能源的实际状况,能够为城市能源系统规划提供合理的量化依据。
위명학성시능원계통상황,수대성시능원체계진행전면이세치적료해,본문재전면분석성시능원계통적기출상,건립료성시능원계통능원류동도,병대기진행간화건립괄합건모적간화모형。진이대성시능원계통진행연구,귀납출성시능원계통적영향지표。연후이용층차분석법사선출기중대평개대상변별능력교강적관건인소,결합상응배경인소,건립료능구전면반영성시능원계통적종합평개지표체계。본문수차장모호종합평개모형인입도능원평개체계권중학정중래,건립료다급성시능원계통종합평개지표체계모호종합평개모형。통과대북경시2000-2007년상관능원수거진행실증분석,결과표명소건평개체계능구근거우화권중결과조출평개대상문제소재,가대평개대상적차이성,방대평개대상간적대비정도,사득평개결과경가명현;동시화등권중계산결과비교분석발현,우화후적평개결과경가합리,병경가접근성시능원적실제상황,능구위성시능원계통규화제공합리적양화의거。
In order to clarify and find out the status of the urban energy system,an urban energy flow diagram was made based on analyzing the urban energy system in full scale.The paper simplified the urban energy flow diagram into an energy flow model in order to collect evaluation indexes.Then this paper sets up a sustainable evaluation system for the urban energy system integrating the key factors of energy system,which are selected from the evaluation indexes using Analytic Hierarchy Process（AHP）,with environments factors.And the Analytic Hierarchy Process-Fuzzy Comprehensive Eualuation（AHP-FCE） is firstly imported into the energy evaluation system to construct multi-step computing model for the urban energy sustainable evaluation system.By analyzing data of the energy and economy of Beijing during 2000-2007,the results showed that the evaluation system could make the evaluation result more significant after optimizing.And the optimized weight could be used to find out problems and enlarge the difference and contrast degree between the evaluation objects.After comparing to that of the same weight,the result showed that the optimized result was quite reasonable and close to the fact,and could provide the justice evidences and applicable suggestions for making the urban energy system planning.