系统工程理论与实践
繫統工程理論與實踐
계통공정이론여실천
Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice
2010年
11期
1977~1985
,共null页
陈兴 王勇 吴凌云 闫桂英 朱伟
陳興 王勇 吳凌雲 閆桂英 硃偉
진흥 왕용 오릉운 염계영 주위
应急决策 协同决策 多目标决策 动态决策
應急決策 協同決策 多目標決策 動態決策
응급결책 협동결책 다목표결책 동태결책
emergency decision; cooperative decision; multi-objective decision; dynamic decision
在考虑部门协同、动态决策的基础上,提出了部门协同网络、协同矩阵、协同系数等新的概念.基于多目标优化的思想,建立了多阶段多目标多部门的应急协同决策模型.该模型能够结合多部门意见,并随着事态的发展对决策进行动态调整.模拟实验表明该模型可以实现科学决策,对于实际的应急决策问题具有重要的意义.
在攷慮部門協同、動態決策的基礎上,提齣瞭部門協同網絡、協同矩陣、協同繫數等新的概唸.基于多目標優化的思想,建立瞭多階段多目標多部門的應急協同決策模型.該模型能夠結閤多部門意見,併隨著事態的髮展對決策進行動態調整.模擬實驗錶明該模型可以實現科學決策,對于實際的應急決策問題具有重要的意義.
재고필부문협동、동태결책적기출상,제출료부문협동망락、협동구진、협동계수등신적개념.기우다목표우화적사상,건립료다계단다목표다부문적응급협동결책모형.해모형능구결합다부문의견,병수착사태적발전대결책진행동태조정.모의실험표명해모형가이실현과학결책,대우실제적응급결책문제구유중요적의의.
The need to solve the emergency decision problems has been urgent nowadays due to its importance to help government in promoting social development and maintaining social stability.Several novel concepts,including department cooperative network,cooperative matrix,and cooperative coefficient, are proposed by considering the demands from multi-divisional cooperation and dynamic decision.Then an emergency decision model with multiple stages,multiple objectives,and multidivisional cooperation has been developed in the framework of multi-objective optimization.The main advantage of this model is that it can integrate the suggestions from different departments and can adjust decision dynamically according to the real-time situation.Further simulation experiments demonstrate that the model has great significance for the practical emergency decision problems and can accomplish scientific decision.