数量经济技术经济研究
數量經濟技術經濟研究
수량경제기술경제연구
The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics
2010年
12期
39~53
,共null页
能源效率 回弹效率 可计算一般均衡模型
能源效率 迴彈效率 可計算一般均衡模型
능원효솔 회탄효솔 가계산일반균형모형
Energy Efficiency; Rebound Effect; Computable General Equilibrium Model
一国在倡导提高能源效率的同时可能会导致能源效率回弹效应，即能源效率提高带来的能源节约会部分被新增加的能源需求抵消掉。本文通过构建能源效率影响下的可计算一般均衡模型，模拟不同能源种类能源效率提高4％对能源消费的影响。模拟结果显示，煤炭、石油和电力在七部门的加权平均能源效率回弹效应分别为32．17％、33．06％和32．28％，说明能源效率回弹效应在我国显著存在。
一國在倡導提高能源效率的同時可能會導緻能源效率迴彈效應，即能源效率提高帶來的能源節約會部分被新增加的能源需求牴消掉。本文通過構建能源效率影響下的可計算一般均衡模型，模擬不同能源種類能源效率提高4％對能源消費的影響。模擬結果顯示，煤炭、石油和電力在七部門的加權平均能源效率迴彈效應分彆為32．17％、33．06％和32．28％，說明能源效率迴彈效應在我國顯著存在。
일국재창도제고능원효솔적동시가능회도치능원효솔회탄효응，즉능원효솔제고대래적능원절약회부분피신증가적능원수구저소도。본문통과구건능원효솔영향하적가계산일반균형모형，모의불동능원충류능원효솔제고4％대능원소비적영향。모의결과현시，매탄、석유화전력재칠부문적가권평균능원효솔회탄효응분별위32．17％、33．06％화32．28％，설명능원효솔회탄효응재아국현저존재。
When one country advocates improving the energy efficiency, a new phenomenon named energy efficiency rebound effect may appear. That means the expected beneficial of energy saving from energy efficiency increase may partially be offset by the newly increased energy demand. Building the computable general equilibrium model, the paper stimulates the influence of various fuels in energy efficiency increasing by 4 percent on energy consumption. The results show that the size of rebound effect from the seven sectors on weighted average at 32.17% for coal, 33. 06% for oil and 32. 28% for electricity. It is reflected that the rebound effect does exist in the economy wide level in China.
