CAJ | 학술논문

本文以家庭人均消费性支出为基础,根据以往的调查结果对每个年龄支出确定权重,估算1987～2007年不同年龄儿童发展的家庭投入,分析家庭为儿童发展投入费用的变化趋势及其与国民经济发展的关系。结果显示：2007年0～17岁儿童发展的家庭投入费用按假设一代人法,城乡平均为16.78万元,2007年满18岁的儿童平均家庭投入费用为9.85万元（2007年价格）。全人口儿童发展的家庭投入费用占GDP比重下降。还需进一步结合社会支出的变化研究儿童人力资本投入的变化趋势。
본문이가정인균소비성지출위기출,근거이왕적조사결과대매개년령지출학정권중,고산1987～2007년불동년령인동발전적가정투입,분석가정위인동발전투입비용적변화추세급기여국민경제발전적관계。결과현시：2007년0～17세인동발전적가정투입비용안가설일대인법,성향평균위16.78만원,2007년만18세적인동평균가정투입비용위9.85만원（2007년개격）。전인구인동발전적가정투입비용점GDP비중하강。환수진일보결합사회지출적변화연구인동인력자본투입적변화추세。
This study estimated family expenditures for the children development and the trend from 1987-2007 based on consumption expenditure per capital and age specific-weight value from early investigation.If children were supposed to grow up with the consumption level in 2007,the average children＇s development expenditure should be 167.8 thousand Yuan.And it is estimated to be 98.5 thousand Yuan to bring up a child to adult aged 18 in 2007.However,the ratio of whole family expenditures for children＇s development to GDP has decreased.It requires deep analysis on the change model of children development expenditures combining with the social expenditures.