国际贸易问题
國際貿易問題
국제무역문제
Journal of International Trade
2011年
1期
137~147
,共null页
跨境资本流动 新兴市场 汇率
跨境資本流動 新興市場 彙率
과경자본류동 신흥시장 회솔
Cross-border capital flows; Emerging market; Exchange rate
本文在简要概述近年来跨境资本流动重要特征的基础上,着重解析了后危机时代主导资本流向的核心要素,详细分析了跨境资本流动的影响传导机制及可能引发的风险。本文认为,为促进跨境资本的有序流动,中国一方面应加强对跨境资本过度流动的监管,建立健全跨境资本流动风险预警机制,另一方面更应加快主动的政策调整,处理好保持经济平稳较快发展、调整经济结构和管理通胀预期的关系,稳步、主动推进人民币区域化、国际化的发展进程。
本文在簡要概述近年來跨境資本流動重要特徵的基礎上,著重解析瞭後危機時代主導資本流嚮的覈心要素,詳細分析瞭跨境資本流動的影響傳導機製及可能引髮的風險。本文認為,為促進跨境資本的有序流動,中國一方麵應加彊對跨境資本過度流動的鑑管,建立健全跨境資本流動風險預警機製,另一方麵更應加快主動的政策調整,處理好保持經濟平穩較快髮展、調整經濟結構和管理通脹預期的關繫,穩步、主動推進人民幣區域化、國際化的髮展進程。
본문재간요개술근년래과경자본류동중요특정적기출상,착중해석료후위궤시대주도자본류향적핵심요소,상세분석료과경자본류동적영향전도궤제급가능인발적풍험。본문인위,위촉진과경자본적유서류동,중국일방면응가강대과경자본과도류동적감관,건립건전과경자본류동풍험예경궤제,령일방면경응가쾌주동적정책조정,처리호보지경제평은교쾌발전、조정경제결구화관리통창예기적관계,은보、주동추진인민폐구역화、국제화적발전진정。
Based on the survey of essential features of cross-border capital flows in recent years, this paper emphasized on the core factors leading the tendency of cross-border capital flows as well as its conducting mechanism and implied influence. In the paper' s opinion, China should make great effort to enhance the supervising and forewarning ability to manage cross-border capital flows. Further more, China should accelerate the pace of initiative adjusting of financial and monetary policies, coordinate the relation among stable growth, structure adjusting and management of inflation expectation, and speed up the reform of RMB exchange rate formation mechanism to improve the progress of regional circulation and internationalization of RMB.