中国人口资源与环境
中國人口資源與環境
중국인구자원여배경
China Polulation.Resources and Environment
2011年
1期
43~48
,共null页
碳排放 贸易自由化 经济增长
碳排放 貿易自由化 經濟增長
탄배방 무역자유화 경제증장
carbon emissions; trade liberalization; economic growth
随着中国经济的快速发展和出口贸易的持续扩张,中国碳排放量不断增加已超过美国居世界第一位,有关贸易自由化、经济增长与环境问题的研究亦方兴未艾。本文运用1995年-2007年期间我国省际面板数据,从规模、结构和技术三个角度,就贸易自由化、经济增长对碳排放的影响进行了实证研究。研究表明：代表规模技术效应的人均收入和碳排放量之间存在显著的正相关关系,我国存在碳排放量的环境库兹涅茨曲线;代表结构效应的资本劳动比和碳排放量存在显著的负相关关系;贸易所产生的结构效应是消极的,这为＂污染避难所假说＂提供了来自中国的证据;贸易自由化的总效应使得我国碳排放量增加。此外,本文还结合实证分析的结果,提出了在促进经济持续发展的同时控制和降低碳排放量的政策建议。
隨著中國經濟的快速髮展和齣口貿易的持續擴張,中國碳排放量不斷增加已超過美國居世界第一位,有關貿易自由化、經濟增長與環境問題的研究亦方興未艾。本文運用1995年-2007年期間我國省際麵闆數據,從規模、結構和技術三箇角度,就貿易自由化、經濟增長對碳排放的影響進行瞭實證研究。研究錶明：代錶規模技術效應的人均收入和碳排放量之間存在顯著的正相關關繫,我國存在碳排放量的環境庫玆涅茨麯線;代錶結構效應的資本勞動比和碳排放量存在顯著的負相關關繫;貿易所產生的結構效應是消極的,這為＂汙染避難所假說＂提供瞭來自中國的證據;貿易自由化的總效應使得我國碳排放量增加。此外,本文還結閤實證分析的結果,提齣瞭在促進經濟持續髮展的同時控製和降低碳排放量的政策建議。
수착중국경제적쾌속발전화출구무역적지속확장,중국탄배방량불단증가이초과미국거세계제일위,유관무역자유화、경제증장여배경문제적연구역방흥미애。본문운용1995년-2007년기간아국성제면판수거,종규모、결구화기술삼개각도,취무역자유화、경제증장대탄배방적영향진행료실증연구。연구표명：대표규모기술효응적인균수입화탄배방량지간존재현저적정상관관계,아국존재탄배방량적배경고자열자곡선;대표결구효응적자본노동비화탄배방량존재현저적부상관관계;무역소산생적결구효응시소겁적,저위＂오염피난소가설＂제공료래자중국적증거;무역자유화적총효응사득아국탄배방량증가。차외,본문환결합실증분석적결과,제출료재촉진경제지속발전적동시공제화강저탄배방량적정책건의。
With the sharp development of China economics and export expansion,China has been the first in the volume of carbon emission per year all over the world instead of America.Therefore,the studies and researches about the relationship among trade liberalization,economics development and environment issues are booming.Based on the related Chinese panel data of each province from 1995 to 2007,this paper makes an empirical analysis about how the trade liberalization and economic growth influence the carbon emission of each province.There are three respects mainly to be considered in the analysis progress,which are scale effect,composition effect and technique effect.Consequently,four substantiated conclusion can be made.At first,there is a close positive relationship between per capita income and carbon emissions,in another words,Environmental Kuznets Curve consists with the situation in China.Moreover,capital-to-labor ratios and carbon emissions share a negative relation in China.Furthermore,trade has a negative impact to the environment,according to the composition effect of trade,and this point supports the ＂pollution haven hypothesis＂ very well in China.Finally,in a comprehensive consideration,the total effects from trade liberalization make the carbon emissions problem much more serious.Additionally,this paper serves some suggestions for how to decrease carbon emission and keep economic developing contemporarily according to the empirical analysis.
