中国人口资源与环境
中國人口資源與環境
중국인구자원여배경
China Polulation.Resources and Environment
2011年
1期
70~77
,共null页
脱钩分析 Tapio脱钩模型 低碳城市
脫鉤分析 Tapio脫鉤模型 低碳城市
탈구분석 Tapio탈구모형 저탄성시
decoupling; Tapio model; low-carbon city
城市是经济、社会、政治、文化的综合载体,其中经济是一个城市功能的主要体现、职能的重要组成。经济发展程度高的城市往往是其所在区域甚至整个国家经济的核心中枢。这些城市既体现着各自区域内经济技术发展的最高水平,同时也往往占有着大量的资源,消耗了相当多的能源。2006年GDP排名100强的城市,GDP贡献率为67.36%,同时用电量占全国的41.59%,用水占全国的58.02%,天然气（含煤气）和液化石油气使用量更是占到了全国的75%以上,是能源消耗和污染物控制的重点区域。因此,本文应用Tapio脱钩模型定性定量相结合地研究了不同时期、不同地域、不同类型,中国百强城市经济发展与能源消耗的关系,其中,我国多数东部城市的经济高速发展建立在高能耗基础上;西部城市整体从1998年开始,经济发展与能源消耗的脱钩状态急剧恶化;东北地区的城市则从实施老工业基地振兴计划以来,其能源消耗增加率发生了明显增加;而我国中部地区的城市经济发展与能源消耗的脱钩值增长较为缓慢。根据脱钩数据的时空耦合结果,以期帮助我们找出更为适宜的城市发展之路。
城市是經濟、社會、政治、文化的綜閤載體,其中經濟是一箇城市功能的主要體現、職能的重要組成。經濟髮展程度高的城市往往是其所在區域甚至整箇國傢經濟的覈心中樞。這些城市既體現著各自區域內經濟技術髮展的最高水平,同時也往往佔有著大量的資源,消耗瞭相噹多的能源。2006年GDP排名100彊的城市,GDP貢獻率為67.36%,同時用電量佔全國的41.59%,用水佔全國的58.02%,天然氣（含煤氣）和液化石油氣使用量更是佔到瞭全國的75%以上,是能源消耗和汙染物控製的重點區域。因此,本文應用Tapio脫鉤模型定性定量相結閤地研究瞭不同時期、不同地域、不同類型,中國百彊城市經濟髮展與能源消耗的關繫,其中,我國多數東部城市的經濟高速髮展建立在高能耗基礎上;西部城市整體從1998年開始,經濟髮展與能源消耗的脫鉤狀態急劇噁化;東北地區的城市則從實施老工業基地振興計劃以來,其能源消耗增加率髮生瞭明顯增加;而我國中部地區的城市經濟髮展與能源消耗的脫鉤值增長較為緩慢。根據脫鉤數據的時空耦閤結果,以期幫助我們找齣更為適宜的城市髮展之路。
성시시경제、사회、정치、문화적종합재체,기중경제시일개성시공능적주요체현、직능적중요조성。경제발전정도고적성시왕왕시기소재구역심지정개국가경제적핵심중추。저사성시기체현착각자구역내경제기술발전적최고수평,동시야왕왕점유착대량적자원,소모료상당다적능원。2006년GDP배명100강적성시,GDP공헌솔위67.36%,동시용전량점전국적41.59%,용수점전국적58.02%,천연기（함매기）화액화석유기사용량경시점도료전국적75%이상,시능원소모화오염물공제적중점구역。인차,본문응용Tapio탈구모형정성정량상결합지연구료불동시기、불동지역、불동류형,중국백강성시경제발전여능원소모적관계,기중,아국다수동부성시적경제고속발전건립재고능모기출상;서부성시정체종1998년개시,경제발전여능원소모적탈구상태급극악화;동북지구적성시칙종실시로공업기지진흥계화이래,기능원소모증가솔발생료명현증가;이아국중부지구적성시경제발전여능원소모적탈구치증장교위완만。근거탈구수거적시공우합결과,이기방조아문조출경위괄의적성시발전지로。
City is the integrated carrier of economy,society,politics and culture,in which economy is the main aspect of urban function as well as an important component.Cities with a high level of economic development are often the cores of the located regions even the whole country.On the one hand, these cities embody the highest level of economic and technological development of the located regions.On the other hand,they consume a large amount of resources and energy.In China,the top 100 cities of GDP consumed 41.59% of the country＇s electricity,58.02% of water,and the consumption of natural gas（including gas） and liquefied petroleum gas exceeded 75% in 2006 though their contribution to the whole country＇s GDP was 67.36%.Apparently,these cities are key areas of the energy consumption and pollution control.Therefore,this paper focuses on the relationship between economic development and energy consumption of the top 100 cities in different periods,regions,and types.Among the majority of the eastern cities,the rapid economic development is always based on the high level energy consumption.Since 1998,the state of decoupling between economic development and energy consumption has been rapidly worsened in the cities of western China.Cities in northeast China presented an obciously increasing rate of energy consumption due to the old industrial base plans.The growth of decoupling value of cities in central China is slower than expectation.The purpose of the analysis is to find a better way for urban development by using these time-space results.
