中国人口资源与环境
中國人口資源與環境
중국인구자원여배경
China Polulation.Resources and Environment
2011年
1期
78~84
,共null页
郭菊娥 钱冬 吕振东 熊洁
郭菊娥 錢鼕 呂振東 熊潔
곽국아 전동 려진동 웅길
低碳经济 资源税调整 中国能源CGE模型
低碳經濟 資源稅調整 中國能源CGE模型
저탄경제 자원세조정 중국능원CGE모형
low carbon economy; resource tax adjustment; energy CGE model of China
煤炭资源税调整是实现节能减排、推动低碳经济重要的价格调控手段,全球金融危机与我国经济回暖给煤炭资源税调整提供了有利时机。本文基于我国实际情况构建了中国能源CGE模型,测算了从价征收不同煤炭资源税税率的影响效应,结果表明：随着煤炭资源税税率的逐步提升,煤炭需求量减少幅度大于GDP减少幅度,能有效降低单位GDP煤耗,并且对CPI的影响较小。从行业影响来看,价格受影响最大的是电力、热力的生产和供应业,燃气生产和供应业;产出受影响最大的行业依次是燃气生产和供应业,电力、热力的生产和供应业,金属冶炼及压延加工业,化学工业四个行业。受影响较大的行业均是节能减排重点行业。建议政府应将目前的资源税费合并,成为资源税从价计征,提高税率,并对资源税实施专款专用,提高能源利用效率。并根据测算结果提出煤炭资源税调整与补贴投资相结合的政策建议。
煤炭資源稅調整是實現節能減排、推動低碳經濟重要的價格調控手段,全毬金融危機與我國經濟迴暖給煤炭資源稅調整提供瞭有利時機。本文基于我國實際情況構建瞭中國能源CGE模型,測算瞭從價徵收不同煤炭資源稅稅率的影響效應,結果錶明：隨著煤炭資源稅稅率的逐步提升,煤炭需求量減少幅度大于GDP減少幅度,能有效降低單位GDP煤耗,併且對CPI的影響較小。從行業影響來看,價格受影響最大的是電力、熱力的生產和供應業,燃氣生產和供應業;產齣受影響最大的行業依次是燃氣生產和供應業,電力、熱力的生產和供應業,金屬冶煉及壓延加工業,化學工業四箇行業。受影響較大的行業均是節能減排重點行業。建議政府應將目前的資源稅費閤併,成為資源稅從價計徵,提高稅率,併對資源稅實施專款專用,提高能源利用效率。併根據測算結果提齣煤炭資源稅調整與補貼投資相結閤的政策建議。
매탄자원세조정시실현절능감배、추동저탄경제중요적개격조공수단,전구금융위궤여아국경제회난급매탄자원세조정제공료유리시궤。본문기우아국실제정황구건료중국능원CGE모형,측산료종개정수불동매탄자원세세솔적영향효응,결과표명：수착매탄자원세세솔적축보제승,매탄수구량감소폭도대우GDP감소폭도,능유효강저단위GDP매모,병차대CPI적영향교소。종행업영향래간,개격수영향최대적시전력、열력적생산화공응업,연기생산화공응업;산출수영향최대적행업의차시연기생산화공응업,전력、열력적생산화공응업,금속야련급압연가공업,화학공업사개행업。수영향교대적행업균시절능감배중점행업。건의정부응장목전적자원세비합병,성위자원세종개계정,제고세솔,병대자원세실시전관전용,제고능원이용효솔。병근거측산결과제출매탄자원세조정여보첩투자상결합적정책건의。
Coal resource tax adjustment is an important measure of price regulation for realizing energy-saving and promoting low carbon economy.The global financial crisis and the economic recovery in China are opportunities to adjust coal resource tax.The paper constructs the energy CGE model of China,and then calculates the influence effects of different rates of ad valorem of coal resource tax.The results show that with the coal resource tax rate rising gradually,the CPI climbs slowly,and coal demand reduction is greater than the GDP reduction,which means unit GDP coal consumption reduces.As to impacts of coal resource rate on industry,the industries that have the greatest price shock are electricity,heat production and supply industry and gas production and supply industry;outputs of the four industries influenced greatly are gas production and supply industry,electricity,heat production and supply industry,smelting and pressing of ferrous metals industry and chemical industry.All the above are key industrial sectors of energy-saving and emission reduction.So the paper recommends that the government should merge the current coal resource tax and charges into ad of valorem coal resource tax,raise the tax rate,and make sure the specific tax is earmarked to improve energy efficiency.Finally,comprehensive policy recommendations of coal resource tax adjustments and investment subsidies are provided.
