CAJ | 학술논문

以新迁移经济学相关理论假设为基础,改进了贫困农户的家庭支出模型,并利用在陕西秦岭山区的实地调查数据分析了汇款对农户支出的直接和间接影响。结果显示：在农户的支出系统中,食物消费和生产性投资同时受到汇款的直接与间接影响,健康和教育支出受到汇款的间接影响;汇款在食物消费和生产性投资上表现出来的直接影响大于间接影响,且作用方向相反;汇款作为现金收入更多的被用在食物消费而不是生产投资,但随着收入的增多,农户用于消费的支出比例相对减少,而用于生产投资的支出比例才逐渐增加。结论也对相关政策的分析和制定具有一定的启示。
이신천이경제학상관이론가설위기출,개진료빈곤농호적가정지출모형,병이용재협서진령산구적실지조사수거분석료회관대농호지출적직접화간접영향。결과현시：재농호적지출계통중,식물소비화생산성투자동시수도회관적직접여간접영향,건강화교육지출수도회관적간접영향;회관재식물소비화생산성투자상표현출래적직접영향대우간접영향,차작용방향상반;회관작위현금수입경다적피용재식물소비이불시생산투자,단수착수입적증다,농호용우소비적지출비례상대감소,이용우생산투자적지출비례재축점증가。결론야대상관정책적분석화제정구유일정적계시。
Based on the relating theoretical assumption of New Economics of Labor Migration,this paper modifies the family expenditure of poor households,and analyses the direct and indirect impacts of the remittances received from the migration family members on rural household expenditure by use of the on-site investigation data in Qinling mountainous areas of Shaanxi province.The results manifest that in the expenditure system of the rural households,food consumption and production investment are simultaneously affected by the remittances,the health care and education expenditure are subjected to direct impacts,and the direct impacts exerted by the remittances on food consumption and productive investment are greater than indirect impacts with their affecting direction opposite.As cash incomes,more remittances are used for food consumption instead of productive investment.However,along with the increase in household income,the expenditure share of food consumption is decreasing,while the productive investment is increasing.The findings of this paper may offer some enlightenment in formulating and analyzing relevant policies.