华东经济管理
華東經濟管理
화동경제관리
East China Economic Management
2011年
3期
51~56
,共null页
陈秋玲 肖璐 张青 曹庆瑾
陳鞦玲 肖璐 張青 曹慶瑾
진추령 초로 장청 조경근
地区安全生产 经济社会风险因子 面板数据
地區安全生產 經濟社會風險因子 麵闆數據
지구안전생산 경제사회풍험인자 면판수거
regional production safety; economic and social risk factor; panel data
文章基于经济社会学与安全科学双重视角，探讨地区安全生产风险因子问题。解释变量为经济社会风险源中的10个因子，被解释变量为地区亿元GDP安全事故死亡率，分析的数据为2005—2007年各省市地区相关指标的面板数据，主要采用OLS、REM、FLS等回归分析法探讨各经济社会风险因子与地区安全生产的相关关系。研究结果表明：地区人均GDP、地区GDP增长率、地区产业结构系数、地区城市化水平、地区从业人员业务素质对亿元GDP安全事故死亡率在近三年内有反向关系；地区第二产业从业人员占比、地区高危行业增加值占比与亿元GDP安全事故死亡率之间具有正向关系；地区城镇人口密度与地区安全生产事故死亡率的关系微弱。
文章基于經濟社會學與安全科學雙重視角，探討地區安全生產風險因子問題。解釋變量為經濟社會風險源中的10箇因子，被解釋變量為地區億元GDP安全事故死亡率，分析的數據為2005—2007年各省市地區相關指標的麵闆數據，主要採用OLS、REM、FLS等迴歸分析法探討各經濟社會風險因子與地區安全生產的相關關繫。研究結果錶明：地區人均GDP、地區GDP增長率、地區產業結構繫數、地區城市化水平、地區從業人員業務素質對億元GDP安全事故死亡率在近三年內有反嚮關繫；地區第二產業從業人員佔比、地區高危行業增加值佔比與億元GDP安全事故死亡率之間具有正嚮關繫；地區城鎮人口密度與地區安全生產事故死亡率的關繫微弱。
문장기우경제사회학여안전과학쌍중시각，탐토지구안전생산풍험인자문제。해석변량위경제사회풍험원중적10개인자，피해석변량위지구억원GDP안전사고사망솔，분석적수거위2005—2007년각성시지구상관지표적면판수거，주요채용OLS、REM、FLS등회귀분석법탐토각경제사회풍험인자여지구안전생산적상관관계。연구결과표명：지구인균GDP、지구GDP증장솔、지구산업결구계수、지구성시화수평、지구종업인원업무소질대억원GDP안전사고사망솔재근삼년내유반향관계；지구제이산업종업인원점비、지구고위행업증가치점비여억원GDP안전사고사망솔지간구유정향관계；지구성진인구밀도여지구안전생산사고사망솔적관계미약。
As the time goes by, issues caused by regional produc.tion safety are gaining more and more attention from people in politics and government, academy, industry and society. However, only a few researebes foeus on eennomic and social risk faetnrs. Considering this weakness, this paper studies on risk factors of the regional production safty based on economic sociology and secure science. In order to discuss the relationship between various economic social risk factors and regional production safty, this paper chooses ten factors as variables and the mortality of regional production safety accident beyond RMB100 million GDP as parameter. By using the regression analysis approach, namely OLS, REM, FLS, we tests the panel data of provinces in China from 2005 to 2007. Our research concludes that regional average GDP, the growth rate of regional GDP, regional industrial structure cuefficient, the level of urhanization and the working ability of employers bad rcverse relations with the mortality of regional production safety aecident beyond RMB100 million GDP in recent 3 years; Howew;r, the ratio of employment in the second industry to the one in total industry and the increase prodaction of high risky industry had inverse relations with the mortality of regional production safety accident beyond RMB100 million GDP; Moreover, the density of population has weak relation with the mortality of regional prnduetion safety accident.
