商业研究
商業研究
상업연구
Commercial Research
2011年
3期
146~151
,共null页
低碳经济 Malmquist生产力指数 数据包络分析(DEA) 随机性趋同
低碳經濟 Malmquist生產力指數 數據包絡分析(DEA) 隨機性趨同
저탄경제 Malmquist생산력지수 수거포락분석(DEA) 수궤성추동
a low carbon economy; Malmquist productivity indexes; data envelopment analysis; stochastic convergence
利用数据包络分析对全国及区域煤炭效率进行测算,全国和各区域的煤炭能源年平均Malmquist生产力指数均呈现稍有波动但整体下滑趋势,其中华北和东北主要源于技术效率变动特别是纯技术效率变动出现了下滑;而对于西南、中南近期出现的稍有上升趋势,则更多源于规模效率变动的上升;西北和华东则是由于技术变动下滑趋势。煤炭能源效率随机性趋同显示,各省和作为整体的华北的煤炭能源效率有向全国平均值水平移动的趋势;而对区域内部趋同进一步研究发现,除西北区域其他区域内部均不存在随机性趋同趋势。这一研究为提高煤炭效率走低碳经济之路提出相关政策检验。
利用數據包絡分析對全國及區域煤炭效率進行測算,全國和各區域的煤炭能源年平均Malmquist生產力指數均呈現稍有波動但整體下滑趨勢,其中華北和東北主要源于技術效率變動特彆是純技術效率變動齣現瞭下滑;而對于西南、中南近期齣現的稍有上升趨勢,則更多源于規模效率變動的上升;西北和華東則是由于技術變動下滑趨勢。煤炭能源效率隨機性趨同顯示,各省和作為整體的華北的煤炭能源效率有嚮全國平均值水平移動的趨勢;而對區域內部趨同進一步研究髮現,除西北區域其他區域內部均不存在隨機性趨同趨勢。這一研究為提高煤炭效率走低碳經濟之路提齣相關政策檢驗。
이용수거포락분석대전국급구역매탄효솔진행측산,전국화각구역적매탄능원년평균Malmquist생산력지수균정현초유파동단정체하활추세,기중화북화동북주요원우기술효솔변동특별시순기술효솔변동출현료하활;이대우서남、중남근기출현적초유상승추세,칙경다원우규모효솔변동적상승;서북화화동칙시유우기술변동하활추세。매탄능원효솔수궤성추동현시,각성화작위정체적화북적매탄능원효솔유향전국평균치수평이동적추세;이대구역내부추동진일보연구발현,제서북구역기타구역내부균불존재수궤성추동추세。저일연구위제고매탄효솔주저탄경제지로제출상관정책검험。
We estimate national and regional coal-energy efficiency by data envelopment analysis,national and regional coal-energy average Malmquist productivity indexes have experienced the trend of a slight fluctuation but downward overall,among them,technology efficiency,especially pure technical efficiency in North China and Northeast is decline;for Southwest,South-Central,the recent slight upward trend are more due to rise in scale efficiency change;Northwest and Northeast are due to decline of technical change.Stochastic convergence of coal-energy efficiency shows that the provinces and North China,as a whole,the coal-energy efficiency is take on the trend of movement to the national average level;and further study to stochastic convergence within the region,we find that other areas region do not exist random convergence trend except for Northwest.This research proposes related policy testing for raising coal efficiency and taking road of the low-carbon economy.