国际商务研究
國際商務研究
국제상무연구
International Business Research
2011年
2期
53~60
,共null页
引力模型 FDI 汇率体制改革
引力模型 FDI 彙率體製改革
인력모형 FDI 회솔체제개혁
gravity model; FDI; exchange rate regime reform
FDI(外商直接投资)是改革开放以来我国经济增长的重要推动力。有观点认为人民币升值会导致FDI流入的减少。针对这一观点,本文建立在引力模型基础上,增加了劳动力成本、资源成本、贸易总量和汇率效应变量。经过分析发现,汇率是影响FDI的首要因素,经济总量和国际经济周期因素也是FDI流入的重要影响因素,同时劳动力成本的影响效应也很显著。
FDI(外商直接投資)是改革開放以來我國經濟增長的重要推動力。有觀點認為人民幣升值會導緻FDI流入的減少。針對這一觀點,本文建立在引力模型基礎上,增加瞭勞動力成本、資源成本、貿易總量和彙率效應變量。經過分析髮現,彙率是影響FDI的首要因素,經濟總量和國際經濟週期因素也是FDI流入的重要影響因素,同時勞動力成本的影響效應也很顯著。
FDI(외상직접투자)시개혁개방이래아국경제증장적중요추동력。유관점인위인민폐승치회도치FDI류입적감소。침대저일관점,본문건립재인력모형기출상,증가료노동력성본、자원성본、무역총량화회솔효응변량。경과분석발현,회솔시영향FDI적수요인소,경제총량화국제경제주기인소야시FDI류입적중요영향인소,동시노동력성본적영향효응야흔현저。
Since the reform and opening up,FDI has been an important impetus to the economic development of China.Some people deem that the appreciation of RMB will lead to the decrease of the FDI inflow.In order to test this hypothesis,this paper explores the main factors that influence FDI inflow and examines the specific impact of exchange rate regime reform of China on the FDI inflow.We base our model on the classic gravity model and extend it to encompass exchange rate,labor cost,resources cost,etc.The result shows that resources cost is the primary factor that influence China's FDI inflow,the labor cost and trade volume are also very significant,while the exchange rate is not.