中国人口资源与环境
中國人口資源與環境
중국인구자원여배경
China Polulation.Resources and Environment
2011年
3期
54~58
,共null页
低碳经济 评价指标 湖北 碳排放
低碳經濟 評價指標 湖北 碳排放
저탄경제 평개지표 호북 탄배방
low-carbon economy ; evaluation index ; Hubei ; carbon emission
根据低碳经济的理论内涵，低碳经济发展评价指标体系由总体层、系统层、状态层、变量层和要素层组成。其中，系统层由自然生态系统、产业生态系统和人文生态系统构成。以湖北省低碳发展资料为依据，采用层次分析法，对湖北省低碳经济评价指标体系的实证结果表明：产业生态系统处于离能耗高排放阶段，“差”的隶属度最高。为0．48，说明湖北的产业低碳化还有待提高，主要是化石能源消耗和煤炭消耗较大。应该转变能源使用方式，尽量节能和使用可再生能源；自然生态系统以“良好”的隶属度最高。为0．386，说明湖北的自然绿化条件较好；人文生态系统也以“良好”的隶属度最高，为0．364。说明在城市还应加强各项管理。提高公众对环境的满意度和对低碳的认知度。综合评价湖北的低碳经济发展水平为“良好”。评价结果与直观分析结果基本一致，说明构建的湖北省低碳经济评价指标体系适用性较强。
根據低碳經濟的理論內涵，低碳經濟髮展評價指標體繫由總體層、繫統層、狀態層、變量層和要素層組成。其中，繫統層由自然生態繫統、產業生態繫統和人文生態繫統構成。以湖北省低碳髮展資料為依據，採用層次分析法，對湖北省低碳經濟評價指標體繫的實證結果錶明：產業生態繫統處于離能耗高排放階段，“差”的隸屬度最高。為0．48，說明湖北的產業低碳化還有待提高，主要是化石能源消耗和煤炭消耗較大。應該轉變能源使用方式，儘量節能和使用可再生能源；自然生態繫統以“良好”的隸屬度最高。為0．386，說明湖北的自然綠化條件較好；人文生態繫統也以“良好”的隸屬度最高，為0．364。說明在城市還應加彊各項管理。提高公衆對環境的滿意度和對低碳的認知度。綜閤評價湖北的低碳經濟髮展水平為“良好”。評價結果與直觀分析結果基本一緻，說明構建的湖北省低碳經濟評價指標體繫適用性較彊。
근거저탄경제적이론내함，저탄경제발전평개지표체계유총체층、계통층、상태층、변량층화요소층조성。기중，계통층유자연생태계통、산업생태계통화인문생태계통구성。이호북성저탄발전자료위의거，채용층차분석법，대호북성저탄경제평개지표체계적실증결과표명：산업생태계통처우리능모고배방계단，“차”적대속도최고。위0．48，설명호북적산업저탄화환유대제고，주요시화석능원소모화매탄소모교대。응해전변능원사용방식，진량절능화사용가재생능원；자연생태계통이“량호”적대속도최고。위0．386，설명호북적자연녹화조건교호；인문생태계통야이“량호”적대속도최고，위0．364。설명재성시환응가강각항관리。제고공음대배경적만의도화대저탄적인지도。종합평개호북적저탄경제발전수평위“량호”。평개결과여직관분석결과기본일치，설명구건적호북성저탄경제평개지표체계괄용성교강。
According to the connotation of the theory of low-carbon economy, the evaluation index system of low-carbon economic development consists of overall layer, system layer, state layer, variable layer and element layer, in which system layer comprises natural coo-system, industrial eco-system and humane eco-system. Based on the information of the low-carbon development of Hubei province, and adopting layer analysis method, empirical results of the evaluation index system show： industrial eeo-system is in the stage of high energy consumption and high emission; its subordinate degree ＂poor＂ is the highest, with 0.48, which means that low- carbonization of Hubei＇ s industry is waiting to be boosted, mainly because of the high consumption of fossil energy and coal. So to transform the methods of utilizing energy source is needed to save energy and utilize renewable energy source as much as possible. Natural coo-system has the highest subordinate degree ＂good＂, with 0. 386, indicating Hubei＇ s natural green conditions are better. So has humane eco-system of Hubei, with 0. 364, showing that the cities need to strengthen every item of administration and raise the public＇ s satisfaction with the environment and heighten its recognition of low-carbonization. The comprehensive evaluation of Hubei＇ s low-carbon economic development is ＂good＂, and the result of the evaluation is basically in uniform with the result of direct object analysis, showing the constructed evaluation index system of Hubei＇ s low-carbon economic development has a comparatively good suitability.
