科技进步与对策
科技進步與對策
과기진보여대책
Science & Technology Progress and Policy
2011年
5期
29~34
,共null页
区域生态合作 环境库兹涅茨曲线 演化博弈分析
區域生態閤作 環境庫玆涅茨麯線 縯化博弈分析
구역생태합작 배경고자열자곡선 연화박혁분석
Regional Ecological Cooperation; Environmental Kuznets Curve; Evolutionary Game Analysis
环境系统和经济系统的耦合协调发展是实现可持续发展的核心。依据经济增长与环境交互作用的强弱程度,把环境库兹涅茨曲线划分为低水平耦合、颉颃、磨合和高水平耦合4个阶段,应用演化博弈分析不同阶段区域主体之间生态合作竞争的博弈演化。用演化稳定策略来描述生态合作竞争博弈的长期演化趋势,并进一步探讨区域生态补偿的可行性。最后,针对演化博弈分析的结果,提出通过建立区域生态-经济合作机制来解决区域生态环境问题的思路,并进行实证研究。
環境繫統和經濟繫統的耦閤協調髮展是實現可持續髮展的覈心。依據經濟增長與環境交互作用的彊弱程度,把環境庫玆涅茨麯線劃分為低水平耦閤、頡頏、磨閤和高水平耦閤4箇階段,應用縯化博弈分析不同階段區域主體之間生態閤作競爭的博弈縯化。用縯化穩定策略來描述生態閤作競爭博弈的長期縯化趨勢,併進一步探討區域生態補償的可行性。最後,針對縯化博弈分析的結果,提齣通過建立區域生態-經濟閤作機製來解決區域生態環境問題的思路,併進行實證研究。
배경계통화경제계통적우합협조발전시실현가지속발전적핵심。의거경제증장여배경교호작용적강약정도,파배경고자열자곡선화분위저수평우합、힐항、마합화고수평우합4개계단,응용연화박혁분석불동계단구역주체지간생태합작경쟁적박혁연화。용연화은정책략래묘술생태합작경쟁박혁적장기연화추세,병진일보탐토구역생태보상적가행성。최후,침대연화박혁분석적결과,제출통과건립구역생태-경제합작궤제래해결구역생태배경문제적사로,병진행실증연구。
Coordination development of environmental and economic systems is the core to achieve sustainable development.Based on the extent of interaction strength between economic growth and environment,the environmental Kuznets curve is divided into four stages including low-level coupling,antagonist,grinding and high levels of coupling.Then,the Game evolution between regions at different stages is analyzed by Evolutionary Game,evolutionary stable strategy is used to describe the ecological competing game of the long-term evolution trends,and further,the feasibility of the regional eco-compensation is discussed.Finally,according to the results of the evolutionary game,the idea of establishing a regional ecological-economic cooperation mechanism is proposed to address the eco-environmental problems.At last,an empirical case is studied.