西北农林科技大学学报：社会科学版
西北農林科技大學學報：社會科學版
서북농림과기대학학보：사회과학판
Journal of Northwest Sci-Tech University of Agriculture and Forestry(Social Science)
2011年
2期
17~21
,共null页
农民收入 变动趋势 结构特征 收入预测
農民收入 變動趨勢 結構特徵 收入預測
농민수입 변동추세 결구특정 수입예측
farmers＇ income; variation trend; structural character; income forecast
依据2001-2009年统计资料,应用洛伦兹曲线和五等分法分析评价入世以来我国农民收入变动趋势为：入世以来各省份间农民人均纯收入差距在不断缩小,而城乡收入在不断扩大;农民收入结构的变化特征为：家庭经营性收入占总收入比重出现下滑势头,工资性收入所占比重不断上涨。揭示了入世以来农业政策对提高农民收入和缩小省际间农民收入差距的积极影响;对未来我国农民收入做出预测,分析了省际间农民收入缩小的原因,同时提出了增加农民收入的对策建议。
依據2001-2009年統計資料,應用洛倫玆麯線和五等分法分析評價入世以來我國農民收入變動趨勢為：入世以來各省份間農民人均純收入差距在不斷縮小,而城鄉收入在不斷擴大;農民收入結構的變化特徵為：傢庭經營性收入佔總收入比重齣現下滑勢頭,工資性收入所佔比重不斷上漲。揭示瞭入世以來農業政策對提高農民收入和縮小省際間農民收入差距的積極影響;對未來我國農民收入做齣預測,分析瞭省際間農民收入縮小的原因,同時提齣瞭增加農民收入的對策建議。
의거2001-2009년통계자료,응용락륜자곡선화오등분법분석평개입세이래아국농민수입변동추세위：입세이래각성빈간농민인균순수입차거재불단축소,이성향수입재불단확대;농민수입결구적변화특정위：가정경영성수입점총수입비중출현하활세두,공자성수입소점비중불단상창。게시료입세이래농업정책대제고농민수입화축소성제간농민수입차거적적겁영향;대미래아국농민수입주출예측,분석료성제간농민수입축소적원인,동시제출료증가농민수입적대책건의。
Based on the annual statistics from 2001-2009,this paper analyses Chinese farmers＇ income variation trend,using Lorenz curve and quinquesection method.Since entering WTO,the farmers＇ net income gap among provinces was continually reducing,while the gap between urban and rural areas was enlarging.The structural character of farmers＇ income is that the proportion of income from family business in gross income declined but the proportion of income from wage rose during the study period.The result indicates that agriculture policies have positive effect on farmers＇ income since entering WTO,and it also forecasts farmers＇ income in the near future.Furthermore,it gives some possible reasons why farmers＇ net income gap among provinces was continually reducing and suggestions to increase farmers＇ income.
