系统工程理论与实践
繫統工程理論與實踐
계통공정이론여실천
Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice
2011年
3期
438~449
,共null页
唐跃 王东浩 陈暮紫 陈敏 杨晓光
唐躍 王東浩 陳暮紫 陳敏 楊曉光
당약 왕동호 진모자 진민 양효광
回收率 经济发展水平 市场化程度 主成分 聚类分析
迴收率 經濟髮展水平 市場化程度 主成分 聚類分析
회수솔 경제발전수평 시장화정도 주성분 취류분석
recovery rate; economic strength; marketization level; principal component; cluster analysis
在中国不同省份的不良贷款回收率水平之间存在较大的差异.通过构造一系列能够刻画各省的经济发展水平和市场化程度的指标,较好地解释了环境因素对地区回收率差异的影响.研究结果表明:不同地区在经济发展水平、要素市场发育程度、法律环境和中介组织发育程度、非国有经济发展程度、政府干预程度等因素的差异能够比较好地解释其回收率之间的差异,而且2001年至2005年各省的不良贷款回收率差异的逐渐变小也是由于这些因素的趋同造成的.基于这些指标,将回收率水平接近的省份划分到相同的区域,为不良贷款的分区域回收率建模奠定基础.
在中國不同省份的不良貸款迴收率水平之間存在較大的差異.通過構造一繫列能夠刻畫各省的經濟髮展水平和市場化程度的指標,較好地解釋瞭環境因素對地區迴收率差異的影響.研究結果錶明:不同地區在經濟髮展水平、要素市場髮育程度、法律環境和中介組織髮育程度、非國有經濟髮展程度、政府榦預程度等因素的差異能夠比較好地解釋其迴收率之間的差異,而且2001年至2005年各省的不良貸款迴收率差異的逐漸變小也是由于這些因素的趨同造成的.基于這些指標,將迴收率水平接近的省份劃分到相同的區域,為不良貸款的分區域迴收率建模奠定基礎.
재중국불동성빈적불량대관회수솔수평지간존재교대적차이.통과구조일계렬능구각화각성적경제발전수평화시장화정도적지표,교호지해석료배경인소대지구회수솔차이적영향.연구결과표명:불동지구재경제발전수평、요소시장발육정도、법률배경화중개조직발육정도、비국유경제발전정도、정부간예정도등인소적차이능구비교호지해석기회수솔지간적차이,이차2001년지2005년각성적불량대관회수솔차이적축점변소야시유우저사인소적추동조성적.기우저사지표,장회수솔수평접근적성빈화분도상동적구역,위불량대관적분구역회수솔건모전정기출.
In China, there exists a big difference in recovery rate of non-performing loans between provinces. By constructing a series of indicators which represent the economic development and marketization level of every province, the differences between the provinces' recovery rate can be explained. The results show that the differences between the indicators, such as per capita GDP, development of factor markets, legal environment and intermediary organizations and non-state economy, and degree of government intervention, can well explain the differences in recovery rate between provinces. Further, the authors explain why the differences in recovery rate between provinces became smaller from 2001 to 2005 are given. Based on these indicators, the authors divided the provinces with close recovery rate into the same cluster, which would lay the foundation for disposal of non-performing loan recovery and risk management beyond provinces.