CAJ | 학술논문

在开放经济条件下探讨了贸易开放度、技术进步与温室效应的关系。基于中国1960-007年的时序数据,结合环境学理论与内生经济增长理论建立了定量分析的温室效应估计方程。采用ARDL法估计的结果表明：自主研发强度、国际技术溢出、技术转化均能有效减少温室气体CO2的排放量,减轻温室效应;贸易开放度、能源消耗会加重温室效应;人均收入与温室效应无关。
재개방경제조건하탐토료무역개방도、기술진보여온실효응적관계。기우중국1960-007년적시서수거,결합배경학이론여내생경제증장이론건립료정량분석적온실효응고계방정。채용ARDL법고계적결과표명：자주연발강도、국제기술일출、기술전화균능유효감소온실기체CO2적배방량,감경온실효응;무역개방도、능원소모회가중온실효응;인균수입여온실효응무관。
This paper explores the relationship between trade openness,technical growth and greenhouse effect.Based on time series data of China between 1960 and 2007,we establish an environmental pollution equation that combines the environmental literature with modern endogenous growth theory for quantitative analysis.The ARDL estimation results indicate： RD intensity,international technological spillage and technology transfer can reduce CO2 emission and greenhouse effect;trade openness and energy consumption aggravate greenhouse effect;income per capita is irrelevant to greenhouse effect.