中南大学学报：社会科学版
中南大學學報：社會科學版
중남대학학보：사회과학판
Journal of Central South Huiversity: Social Science
2011年
2期
118~123
,共null页
产业承接 产业结构优化 产业转移效应 时间序列模型 Granger检验
產業承接 產業結構優化 產業轉移效應 時間序列模型 Granger檢驗
산업승접 산업결구우화 산업전이효응 시간서렬모형 Granger검험
Hunan industry to undertake; industrial structure; theoretical analysis; empirical study; granger inspection
回顾了湖南省承接产业转移和其产业结构演变的现状,并从理论上分析了承接产业转移对产业结构的影响效应。通过建立四个时序计量模型,检验理论分析变量与湖南省产业结构优化的联系。研究结果表明,人力资本、劳动生产率提高对产业结构优化有显著正向影响,产业集群对结构优化效应并不显著,而就业规模则与湖南产业升级成负相关。最后对FDI与产业结构进行Granger检验,发现FDI与湖南省产业结构优化之间并无直接因果关联。
迴顧瞭湖南省承接產業轉移和其產業結構縯變的現狀,併從理論上分析瞭承接產業轉移對產業結構的影響效應。通過建立四箇時序計量模型,檢驗理論分析變量與湖南省產業結構優化的聯繫。研究結果錶明,人力資本、勞動生產率提高對產業結構優化有顯著正嚮影響,產業集群對結構優化效應併不顯著,而就業規模則與湖南產業升級成負相關。最後對FDI與產業結構進行Granger檢驗,髮現FDI與湖南省產業結構優化之間併無直接因果關聯。
회고료호남성승접산업전이화기산업결구연변적현상,병종이론상분석료승접산업전이대산업결구적영향효응。통과건립사개시서계량모형,검험이론분석변량여호남성산업결구우화적련계。연구결과표명,인력자본、노동생산솔제고대산업결구우화유현저정향영향,산업집군대결구우화효응병불현저,이취업규모칙여호남산업승급성부상관。최후대FDI여산업결구진행Granger검험,발현FDI여호남성산업결구우화지간병무직접인과관련。
Reviewing the Hunan Provincial undertaking industrial transfer achievements,and its current status of the evolution of industry structure and theoretical analysis of undertaking industrial transfer on the effects of the industrial structure,this paper established four sequential measurement models to test theory analysis of variables and the optimization of industrial structure in Hunan Province.The results show that human capital and labour productivity in industry structure has a significant positive impact on the industry cluster effects which those on optimizing the structure is not significant,and employment scale and Hunan industrial upgrade into a negative correlation.Finally,with FDI and industrial structure for inspection,the authors found that FDI Granger and Hunan industrial structure evolution are no direct causal associations.
