CAJ | 학술논문

在对我国海外石油开发利用国家风险因素进行分析的基础上,运用模糊综合评判法构建海外石油开发利用风险评估模型,并基于层次分析法对相关风险指标体系进行权重确定;同时,选取了我国海外石油开发利用涉及的一些典型地区或国家进行石油开发利用风险评估。研究发现：政治风险是影响海外石油开发利用的非常重要风险因素;我国在中东地区进行石油开发利用的风险最大,其次是西非、北非以及俄罗斯地区。
재대아국해외석유개발이용국가풍험인소진행분석적기출상,운용모호종합평판법구건해외석유개발이용풍험평고모형,병기우층차분석법대상관풍험지표체계진행권중학정;동시,선취료아국해외석유개발이용섭급적일사전형지구혹국가진행석유개발이용풍험평고。연구발현：정치풍험시영향해외석유개발이용적비상중요풍험인소;아국재중동지구진행석유개발이용적풍험최대,기차시서비、북비이급아라사지구。
On the basis of analysis of risk factors of overseas oil development and utilization,we build risk assessment model of overseas oil development and utilization by using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method and sort the risk level by means of AHP（Analytic Hierarchy Process）.Furthermore,the paper aims to select some typical countries or regions to evaluate risk of petroleum development and utilization.The results show that political risks is a very important risk factors affecting the overseas oil development and utilization and China has the greatest risk in the Middle East,followed by West Africa,North Africa and Russia.