CAJ | 학술논문

从消极就业政策到积极就业政策的转变,标志着中国政府以更为积极的姿态来处理就业问题。估算结果表明,1998-2008年,我国政府为落实就业政策累计支出6169.67亿元,其中用于落实消极就业政策的支出为4144.06亿元,落实积极就业政策的支出为2025.61亿元。实证分析发现,落实积极就业政策的支出和落实消极就业政策的支出与下岗失业人员的再就业之间存在长期稳定关系,落实积极就业政策的支出每变动1%会导致下岗失业人员的再就业数量同向变动0.27%,说明我国政府用于促进就业的支出的确对再就业工作显示出了积极作用;而落实消极就业政策的支出每变动1%将引起下岗失业人员的再就业数量反向变动1.05%,这一结果表明落实消极就业政策的支出吸引了更多的失业下岗人员加入失业保险体系,同时发挥出了一种＂社会稳定器＂的功能。
종소겁취업정책도적겁취업정책적전변,표지착중국정부이경위적겁적자태래처리취업문제。고산결과표명,1998-2008년,아국정부위락실취업정책루계지출6169.67억원,기중용우락실소겁취업정책적지출위4144.06억원,락실적겁취업정책적지출위2025.61억원。실증분석발현,락실적겁취업정책적지출화락실소겁취업정책적지출여하강실업인원적재취업지간존재장기은정관계,락실적겁취업정책적지출매변동1%회도치하강실업인원적재취업수량동향변동0.27%,설명아국정부용우촉진취업적지출적학대재취업공작현시출료적겁작용;이락실소겁취업정책적지출매변동1%장인기하강실업인원적재취업수량반향변동1.05%,저일결과표명락실소겁취업정책적지출흡인료경다적실업하강인원가입실업보험체계,동시발휘출료일충＂사회은정기＂적공능。
The shift from passive labor market policies（PLMPs）to active labor market policies（ALMPs）marks a more active stance of the Chinese government toward the problem of employment.Our estimation results show that the Chinese government＇s accumulative expenditure on employment policy implementation from 1998 to 2008 was 616.967 billion renminbi yuan,with 414.406 billion on passive labor market policy implementation,and 202.561 billion on active labor market policy implementation respectively.It is found that there exists a long-term stable relationship between the expenditure on the implementation and reemployment of laid-off workers：the 1% change of expenditure on the active results in 0.27% change of laid-off workers reemployment,implying that the expenditure aimed at promoting employment indeed had a positive effectt;while the 1% change of expenditure on the passive results in 1.05% change of laid-off workers reemployment,suggesting that the expenditure on the passive sent more laid-off workers into unemployment insurance system,which acts as a ＂social stabilizer＂.