CAJ | 학술논문

湖州市位于我国经济发达的太湖流域，近年经济发展迅速，同时又是我国的环保模范城市。分析该地区的经济增长与环境质量之间的关系，对于其他地区具有十分重要的借鉴意义。选择工业化学耗氧排放量、工业SO2排放量以及工业固体废弃物产生量表征环境污染的综合水平，以人均国内生产总值表征经济发展水平，对湖州市的环境库兹涅茨曲线进行分析，从工业污染物排放、三次产业结构变化以及环境保护政策和投资力度等方面分析。结果表明，1998-2008年湖州市环境库兹涅茨曲线大体呈现倒U型的变化特征，环境库兹涅茨曲线在2006年达到转折点，人均国内生产总值为29088元，工业化学耗氧量、SO2、固体废弃物环境库兹涅茨曲线分别在1999年、2005年、2007年达到转折点，对应的人均国内生产总值分别是12634．9元、25030．0元、32521．4元。
호주시위우아국경제발체적태호류역，근년경제발전신속，동시우시아국적배보모범성시。분석해지구적경제증장여배경질량지간적관계，대우기타지구구유십분중요적차감의의。선택공업화학모양배방량、공업SO2배방량이급공업고체폐기물산생량표정배경오염적종합수평，이인균국내생산총치표정경제발전수평，대호주시적배경고자열자곡선진행분석，종공업오염물배방、삼차산업결구변화이급배경보호정책화투자력도등방면분석。결과표명，1998-2008년호주시배경고자열자곡선대체정현도U형적변화특정，배경고자열자곡선재2006년체도전절점，인균국내생산총치위29088원，공업화학모양량、SO2、고체폐기물배경고자열자곡선분별재1999년、2005년、2007년체도전절점，대응적인균국내생산총치분별시12634．9원、25030．0원、32521．4원。
Huzhou is located to Southwest of Taihu Lake basin, as a ＂National Environmental Protection Model City＂ has a rapid economic growth in recent years. Therefore, it is very important to study the relationship between its economic growth and environmental quality. This paper studies the Environmental Kuznets Curve of Huzhou City, of which environmental indicators are represented by industrial COD discharge, industrial SO2 discharge and industrial solid wastes output, and the economic indicator is represented by GDP per capita.. Results show that from 1998 to 2008 the relationship between economic growth and environmental degradation of Huzhou City presents an inverted-U pattern and has stepped into the decline stage. The EKC turning point of the integrated index of pollution appears in 2006, with the corresponding GDP per capita of 29,088 Yuan. And the EKC turning points of COD, SO2 and solid wastes appear in 1999, 2005 and 2007 respectively, with corresponding GDP per capita of 12,634.9 Yuan, 25,030 Yuan and 32521.4 Yuan. All of the three factors of industrial pollutants discharge, industrial structures and environmental policies and investment drive the EKC downward.