CAJ | 학술논문

我国最近提出的包容性增长的发展战略,要求政府的财政支出模式由生产建设型财政向公共服务型财政转变。本文用柯布-道格拉斯生产函数回归分析得出：我国公共服务财政支出与经济增长呈正相关,公共服务支出的增加能够促进经济的持续增长。文章进而通过系统动力学仿真模型对公共服务支出的经济增长效应进行政策模拟。根据模型运行结果,本文提出了以下政策建议：公共服务支出的增加是一个渐进过程,更应注重公共服务支出结构的调整,近期教育支出的增长速度应大于科技支出的增长速度。
아국최근제출적포용성증장적발전전략,요구정부적재정지출모식유생산건설형재정향공공복무형재정전변。본문용가포-도격랍사생산함수회귀분석득출：아국공공복무재정지출여경제증장정정상관,공공복무지출적증가능구촉진경제적지속증장。문장진이통과계통동역학방진모형대공공복무지출적경제증장효응진행정책모의。근거모형운행결과,본문제출료이하정책건의：공공복무지출적증가시일개점진과정,경응주중공공복무지출결구적조정,근기교육지출적증장속도응대우과기지출적증장속도。
Inclusive growth that China proposed recently calls for the transformation from construction - oriented finance to public service - oriented finance. In this paper, the regression analysis using the Cobb - Douglas production function indicated that public service expenditure has positive effects on economic growth. Increased spending on public services can contribute to sustained economic growth. Then the paper simulates the public service expenditure policy by using the system dynamics model. According to the model results, we propose the following policy recommendations： the increasing of public service expenditure is a gradual process and public service expenditure structural adjustment should be focused on, education expenditure growth rate should be greater than that of science and technology in recent years.