经济问题
經濟問題
경제문제
On Economic Problems
2011年
7期
39~42
,共null页
金融开放 贸易开放 互动渠道
金融開放 貿易開放 互動渠道
금융개방 무역개방 호동거도
financial openness; trade openness; interact channels
将新贸易理论的技术效应、规模经济、产业转移一起视为我国现阶段贸易开放和金融开放的互动渠道,计量发现仅有产业转移渠道在我国的贸易开放和金融开放的互动中起到显著正向作用;规模效应仅与贸易开放有显著正向互动;技术效应则仅与贸易开放存在反向互动,亦不能担当两者互动的中介作用。基于结构向量自回归的方差分解发现产业转移在贸易开放和金融开放的方差波动的解释能力中都占据重要地位,大于技术效应和规模效益之和。
將新貿易理論的技術效應、規模經濟、產業轉移一起視為我國現階段貿易開放和金融開放的互動渠道,計量髮現僅有產業轉移渠道在我國的貿易開放和金融開放的互動中起到顯著正嚮作用;規模效應僅與貿易開放有顯著正嚮互動;技術效應則僅與貿易開放存在反嚮互動,亦不能擔噹兩者互動的中介作用。基于結構嚮量自迴歸的方差分解髮現產業轉移在貿易開放和金融開放的方差波動的解釋能力中都佔據重要地位,大于技術效應和規模效益之和。
장신무역이론적기술효응、규모경제、산업전이일기시위아국현계단무역개방화금융개방적호동거도,계량발현부유산업전이거도재아국적무역개방화금융개방적호동중기도현저정향작용;규모효응부여무역개방유현저정향호동;기술효응칙부여무역개방존재반향호동,역불능담당량자호동적중개작용。기우결구향량자회귀적방차분해발현산업전이재무역개방화금융개방적방차파동적해석능력중도점거중요지위,대우기술효응화규모효익지화。
Technology effects,scale economics and industry transfer are taken as channels by which trade open-ness and financial openness interact each other in the paper.The regression found that there are positively affect on both.But only Industry Transfer is a valid channel in all channels.Scale Economics only positively interacts with trade openness and Technology Effect negatively interacts with trade openness.And both Technology Effect and Scale Economics have significant relationships with financial openness.Based on the structure variables auto regres-sion variances decomposition,variances fluctuation of Industry transfer can explain the more ones for trade openness and financial openness than sums of technology effect and scale economics.
