经济评论
經濟評論
경제평론
Economic Review
2011年
4期
96~103
,共null页
国有企业 民营企业 数量演进 仿真实验
國有企業 民營企業 數量縯進 倣真實驗
국유기업 민영기업 수량연진 방진실험
State- owned Enterprise; Private Enterprise; Evolutionary Number; Simulation Experiment
本文运用种群生态学的仿真实验分析了1990年以来中国国有企业与民营企业数量的动态变化关系。实验显示，“国退民进”和“国进民退”的分水岭在2004年前后，2004年之前，中国民营经济稳步快速发展，此后民营企业数量增长率明显变缓，国有企业数量总体上也在逐步减少。根据国有企业和民营企业各自的相对优势——国有企业发挥实力、民营企业体现活力来设置不同的参数，发现市场经济中民营企业具有普适性，并预测出国有经济与民营经济将长期共存并推进中国经济发展。为此，在市场环境中，只有进一步发展民营经济才能释放强大的经济活力、优化产业结构、维护社会的公平正义。这种以国有经济为基础，国有经济与民营经济争高竞长、并驾齐驱的新型经济才是真正的中国特色社会主义市场经济。
本文運用種群生態學的倣真實驗分析瞭1990年以來中國國有企業與民營企業數量的動態變化關繫。實驗顯示，“國退民進”和“國進民退”的分水嶺在2004年前後，2004年之前，中國民營經濟穩步快速髮展，此後民營企業數量增長率明顯變緩，國有企業數量總體上也在逐步減少。根據國有企業和民營企業各自的相對優勢——國有企業髮揮實力、民營企業體現活力來設置不同的參數，髮現市場經濟中民營企業具有普適性，併預測齣國有經濟與民營經濟將長期共存併推進中國經濟髮展。為此，在市場環境中，隻有進一步髮展民營經濟纔能釋放彊大的經濟活力、優化產業結構、維護社會的公平正義。這種以國有經濟為基礎，國有經濟與民營經濟爭高競長、併駕齊驅的新型經濟纔是真正的中國特色社會主義市場經濟。
본문운용충군생태학적방진실험분석료1990년이래중국국유기업여민영기업수량적동태변화관계。실험현시，“국퇴민진”화“국진민퇴”적분수령재2004년전후，2004년지전，중국민영경제은보쾌속발전，차후민영기업수량증장솔명현변완，국유기업수량총체상야재축보감소。근거국유기업화민영기업각자적상대우세——국유기업발휘실력、민영기업체현활력래설치불동적삼수，발현시장경제중민영기업구유보괄성，병예측출국유경제여민영경제장장기공존병추진중국경제발전。위차，재시장배경중，지유진일보발전민영경제재능석방강대적경제활력、우화산업결구、유호사회적공평정의。저충이국유경제위기출，국유경제여민영경제쟁고경장、병가제구적신형경제재시진정적중국특색사회주의시장경제。
Based on the simulation experiment of Population Ecology,this paper measures the evolutionary number of Chinese State - owned Enterprises and Private Enterprises since 1990. The experiment results show that： the boundary between ＂the State -owned Enterprise was retreating,whereas the Private Sector was expanding＂ and ＂the State -owned Enterprise was expanding, whereas the Private Sector was retreating＂ is in the period of 2004. Before 2004 the number of Private Enterprises increased sharply and stably, but after 2004,Private Sector suffered a slowing down and the State - owned Enterprise number had a gradual reduction. We set different parameters according to their respective comparative advantages - the economic strength of State - owned Enterprises and the economic vitality of Private Enterprise and find that in the market,Private Enterprises have universality. Furthermore,we forecast Chinese State - owned Enterprise and Private Enterprise will coexist in long - term and make economic progress ceaselessly. The conclusions are that ：in order to release the powerful economic force, to adjust and optimize industrial structure and to safeguard social fairness and justice, we must further develop the private economy in market environment. The economic institution that State - owned Economy as the basis,and competing with the Private Economy in high competition environment and keeping pace with each other is the real socialist market economy with Chinese characteristics.
