金融研究
金融研究
금융연구
Journal of Financial Research
2011年
7期
142~151
,共null页
丁志国 赵晶 赵宣凯 吕长征
丁誌國 趙晶 趙宣凱 呂長徵
정지국 조정 조선개 려장정
城乡收入差距 库兹涅茨效应 农村金融政策
城鄉收入差距 庫玆涅茨效應 農村金融政策
성향수입차거 고자열자효응 농촌금융정책
urban-rural income inequality, Kuznets Curve, rural finance policies
本文首先选取1985年至2009年各省的数据,构建Panel Data模型实证检验了我国城乡收入差距的变化趋势,结果表明存在明显的库兹涅茨效应,即我国的城乡收入差距随着经济的增长,呈现先扩大再缩小的变化趋势,印证了我国过去属于“先增长,后分配”的经济发展模式。随后,基于全国的整体样本以及按照农业产值在全国农业总产值中所占比重划分的农业大省和非农业大省的数据样本,检验了各种农村金融政策的有效性,结果显示并非所有的政策手段都能够达到预期效果,甚至还有一些政策的结果事与愿违。凶此,在发展农村金融,改善城乡收入差距的政策选择方面,必须审时度势和因地制宜,才能够达到事半功倍的效果。
本文首先選取1985年至2009年各省的數據,構建Panel Data模型實證檢驗瞭我國城鄉收入差距的變化趨勢,結果錶明存在明顯的庫玆涅茨效應,即我國的城鄉收入差距隨著經濟的增長,呈現先擴大再縮小的變化趨勢,印證瞭我國過去屬于“先增長,後分配”的經濟髮展模式。隨後,基于全國的整體樣本以及按照農業產值在全國農業總產值中所佔比重劃分的農業大省和非農業大省的數據樣本,檢驗瞭各種農村金融政策的有效性,結果顯示併非所有的政策手段都能夠達到預期效果,甚至還有一些政策的結果事與願違。兇此,在髮展農村金融,改善城鄉收入差距的政策選擇方麵,必鬚審時度勢和因地製宜,纔能夠達到事半功倍的效果。
본문수선선취1985년지2009년각성적수거,구건Panel Data모형실증검험료아국성향수입차거적변화추세,결과표명존재명현적고자열자효응,즉아국적성향수입차거수착경제적증장,정현선확대재축소적변화추세,인증료아국과거속우“선증장,후분배”적경제발전모식。수후,기우전국적정체양본이급안조농업산치재전국농업총산치중소점비중화분적농업대성화비농업대성적수거양본,검험료각충농촌금융정책적유효성,결과현시병비소유적정책수단도능구체도예기효과,심지환유일사정책적결과사여원위。흉차,재발전농촌금융,개선성향수입차거적정책선택방면,필수심시도세화인지제의,재능구체도사반공배적효과。
This paper primarily employs Panel Data Models using the provincial data from 1985 to 2009, to test the changes of the income gap between urban and rural residents. The empirical result proves that the Kuznets Curve truly exists in China, which is to say, along with the economic development, the income inequality present the trend of expanded at first and then narrowed, which proves China's economic development model was growth first and then distribution. Subsequently, the authors examine whether the various rural financial policies really could effectively decline income inequality or not, from the angle of the whole country and regional segmentations respectively. It is found that not all policies were able to work well, and even some of them led to the inverse outcome, intensifying inequality. Therefore, it is a must to take different policies according to the local environment regarding to rural finance development and distribution inequality improvement.