西部论坛
西部論罈
서부론단
West Forum
2011年
4期
7~12
,共null页
农村居民收入 农村消费 边际消费倾向 收入结构 持久性收入 暂时性收入 工资性收入 家庭经营收入
農村居民收入 農村消費 邊際消費傾嚮 收入結構 持久性收入 暫時性收入 工資性收入 傢庭經營收入
농촌거민수입 농촌소비 변제소비경향 수입결구 지구성수입 잠시성수입 공자성수입 가정경영수입
income of rural habitants; rural consumption; marginal consumption trend ; income structure ; permanent income ;provisional income; income from wages; household business income
以弗里德曼的持久性收入假说为理论基础,利用重庆统计数据,分析收入及收入结构对重庆市农村居民消费需求的影响。研究表明,从整体层面分析,持久性收入及其边际消费倾向对农民消费影响最显著,提高持久性收入对农民的消费支出有正的影响;从收入结构分析,农民人均工资性收入和家庭经营收入对消费的影响非常显著,提高农民的工资性收入和家庭经营收入会极大地刺激消费需求。因此,应大力提高农民的持久性收入水平,并不断提高农民的收入预期和边际消费倾向;同时要拓宽农民增收渠道,促进农民家庭非农业收入的增长。
以弗裏德曼的持久性收入假說為理論基礎,利用重慶統計數據,分析收入及收入結構對重慶市農村居民消費需求的影響。研究錶明,從整體層麵分析,持久性收入及其邊際消費傾嚮對農民消費影響最顯著,提高持久性收入對農民的消費支齣有正的影響;從收入結構分析,農民人均工資性收入和傢庭經營收入對消費的影響非常顯著,提高農民的工資性收入和傢庭經營收入會極大地刺激消費需求。因此,應大力提高農民的持久性收入水平,併不斷提高農民的收入預期和邊際消費傾嚮;同時要拓寬農民增收渠道,促進農民傢庭非農業收入的增長。
이불리덕만적지구성수입가설위이론기출,이용중경통계수거,분석수입급수입결구대중경시농촌거민소비수구적영향。연구표명,종정체층면분석,지구성수입급기변제소비경향대농민소비영향최현저,제고지구성수입대농민적소비지출유정적영향;종수입결구분석,농민인균공자성수입화가정경영수입대소비적영향비상현저,제고농민적공자성수입화가정경영수입회겁대지자격소비수구。인차,응대력제고농민적지구성수입수평,병불단제고농민적수입예기화변제소비경향;동시요탁관농민증수거도,촉진농민가정비농업수입적증장。
Based on the theory of Friedman' s permanent income and Chongqing' s statistical data, this paper analyzes the effect of income and income structure on the demand of the consumption of rural habitants. The research indicates that the influence of permanent income and its marginal consumption trend on the consumption of rural households is the most prominent on the whole, that raising permanent income has positive effect on peasants' consumption expenditure, and that from the view of income structure, the influence of peasants' per capita income and household business income on the consumption is very obvious so that increasing wages and household business income can greatly stimulate consumption demand. Thus, Chongqing should vigorously raise peasants' permanent income level, increase peasants' income expectation and marginal consumption trend, meanwhile, broaden peasants' income-increasing channel, and boost the non-agricultural income growth of rural households.