CAJ | 학술논문

通过梳理现有文献表明,全球气候变化对社会经济和自然生态系统造成了重大影响,气候变化将显著地改变森林生态服务的供给水平和质量,对森林和以林为生的人口都会造成重要的生态、经济和社会影响,甚至威胁到人类的生存。我国是受气候变化影响较大而适应能力较弱的发展中国家,森林适应气候变化的科学、社会经济及对策研究相对滞后,因此,笔者从气候变化对历史上森林生态系统的影响着手,阐述了气候变化对森林分布、森林演替、森林生产力、生物多样性、森林火灾、森林水文调节和水质、森林生态系统的未来、森林生态服务的水平和质量等方面产生的影响,分析了现有气候变化对森林影响的研究存在的不足：忽略了其它环境因子的作用;忽略了不同物种之间的竞争机制;缺乏对极端气候事件的考虑;缺乏森林自身变化对气候变化的反馈;缺乏森林生态系统对全球气候变化相应机制更深入的认识;研究模型及数据的不完善性。文章最后提出了可将气候变化对森林造成的危害降到最低限度的政策建议。
통과소리현유문헌표명,전구기후변화대사회경제화자연생태계통조성료중대영향,기후변화장현저지개변삼림생태복무적공급수평화질량,대삼림화이림위생적인구도회조성중요적생태、경제화사회영향,심지위협도인류적생존。아국시수기후변화영향교대이괄응능력교약적발전중국가,삼림괄응기후변화적과학、사회경제급대책연구상대체후,인차,필자종기후변화대역사상삼림생태계통적영향착수,천술료기후변화대삼림분포、삼림연체、삼림생산력、생물다양성、삼림화재、삼림수문조절화수질、삼림생태계통적미래、삼림생태복무적수평화질량등방면산생적영향,분석료현유기후변화대삼림영향적연구존재적불족：홀략료기타배경인자적작용;홀략료불동물충지간적경쟁궤제;결핍대겁단기후사건적고필;결핍삼림자신변화대기후변화적반궤;결핍삼림생태계통대전구기후변화상응궤제경심입적인식;연구모형급수거적불완선성。문장최후제출료가장기후변화대삼림조성적위해강도최저한도적정책건의。
By tracinging the existing documents,we can find that the global climate change has a significant impact on the social economy and the natual ecosystem,which will dramatically change the level and quality of supply of the forest ecology,bringing about serious ecological,economic and social influence on the forest and people who live on the forest,and even threatening the existance of human beings.As a developing country,which is under greater influence of climate changes but has a poorer adaptation capability,our study on the adaptation of forests to climate changes,social economy and the corresponding countermeasures is comparatively lagging behind.This article,based on the influence of climate changes on the forest eco-system in history,expounds on how climate changes affect forest distribution and succession,its productivity and diversity,forest fires,forest hydrological regulation,the future of the forest ecosystem,and some other aspects,analyses the defects in the study on the influence of climate changes on the forest,such as neglecting the function of some other environment factors and the competition mechanisim between different species,lacking consideration of some extreme climate events,the feedback of the forest itself as a result of climate changes and a further understanding of the corresponding mechanism,and the imperfection of study models and data.And finally,the article gives policy advice on how to minimize the devastating effects of climate changes on the forest.