预测
預測
예측
Forecasting
2011年
4期
36~41
,共null页
中小企业 供应链管理 供应商数量 供求风险
中小企業 供應鏈管理 供應商數量 供求風險
중소기업 공응련관리 공응상수량 공구풍험
SME; supply chain management; number of suppliers; risk of supply and demand risk
本文在考虑供求中断风险和供应商管理成本的前提下，提出了中小企业最优供应商数量的决策方法。在现有文献的基础上结合其自身特点，建立了更加适合中小企业的最优供应商数量决策模型。首先，将供应商分为两类进行处理；其次，考虑了供应和需求中断的风险成本及管理供应商的成本；最后，给出了求解最优供应商数量的公式，并通过算例分析了各影响因素对最优数量的影响。
本文在攷慮供求中斷風險和供應商管理成本的前提下，提齣瞭中小企業最優供應商數量的決策方法。在現有文獻的基礎上結閤其自身特點，建立瞭更加適閤中小企業的最優供應商數量決策模型。首先，將供應商分為兩類進行處理；其次，攷慮瞭供應和需求中斷的風險成本及管理供應商的成本；最後，給齣瞭求解最優供應商數量的公式，併通過算例分析瞭各影響因素對最優數量的影響。
본문재고필공구중단풍험화공응상관리성본적전제하，제출료중소기업최우공응상수량적결책방법。재현유문헌적기출상결합기자신특점，건립료경가괄합중소기업적최우공응상수량결책모형。수선，장공응상분위량류진행처리；기차，고필료공응화수구중단적풍험성본급관리공응상적성본；최후，급출료구해최우공응상수량적공식，병통과산례분석료각영향인소대최우수량적영향。
This paper illUstrates a decision method of the optimal number of suppliers for SMEs（ small and medium sized enterprises）, with taking the risk of supply and demand interruption and the operating cost into account. Combining the characteristics of SMEs, a more suitable decision model based on the previous models is constructed. Firstly, two types of suppliers are distinguished and dealt individually. Secondly, we include the operating cost and the loss of supply and demand interruption in the model. Finally, we construct a formula to calculate the optimal number of suppliers. And then, some numerical experiments are performed to analyse the sensitivity of the optimal number to those factors.
