技术经济
技術經濟
기술경제
Technology Economics
2011年
8期
21~25
,共null页
武器装备 科研项目 风险偏好 灰色DEA
武器裝備 科研項目 風險偏好 灰色DEA
무기장비 과연항목 풍험편호 회색DEA
weapon equipment; scientific research program; risk preference; grey DEA
针对武器装备科研立项的特点,建立输入、输出指标体系,在考虑了输入、输出指标不确定性的情况下,建立了基于风险偏好的灰色DEA模型,并运用反映决策者风险偏好的θ定位规划求解模型。最后,结合武器装备科研立项的实际情况,定性分析了关键元器件供应等风险因素,通过仿真算例检验了模型的适应性。
針對武器裝備科研立項的特點,建立輸入、輸齣指標體繫,在攷慮瞭輸入、輸齣指標不確定性的情況下,建立瞭基于風險偏好的灰色DEA模型,併運用反映決策者風險偏好的θ定位規劃求解模型。最後,結閤武器裝備科研立項的實際情況,定性分析瞭關鍵元器件供應等風險因素,通過倣真算例檢驗瞭模型的適應性。
침대무기장비과연립항적특점,건립수입、수출지표체계,재고필료수입、수출지표불학정성적정황하,건립료기우풍험편호적회색DEA모형,병운용반영결책자풍험편호적θ정위규화구해모형。최후,결합무기장비과연립항적실제정황,정성분석료관건원기건공응등풍험인소,통과방진산례검험료모형적괄응성。
Aiming at the characteristics of initiated stage of scientific research on weapon equipment,this paper builds in-out index system and a grey DEA model with risk preference in which the uncertainty information is thought over.And then it uese the θ-orientation-programming to solve the model which can reflect the risk preference of decision-makers.Finally,according to the actual situation of initiated stage of scientific research on weapon equipment,it qualitatively analyzes the risk factors such as the supply of critical component,and validates the adaptability of this model through a simulation example.
