CAJ | 학술논문

中国人口生育水平的下降和平均预期寿命的延长，导致原来的人1：7红利出现了转变的趋势，也造成了老龄化负担的加剧。在这种情况下，实行提高退休年龄的政策具备了某种可能性，因为人口红利的逐渐消失和劳动力供求的逆转可能成为提高退休年龄的推力，而养老金制度的老龄化危机则成为提高退休年龄的拉力。在现实条件下，考虑这一政策对城镇就业的冲击以及劳动力异质性的影响，应该实施渐进缓慢、逐步提高退休年龄的政策。
중국인구생육수평적하강화평균예기수명적연장，도치원래적인1：7홍리출현료전변적추세，야조성료노령화부담적가극。재저충정황하，실행제고퇴휴년령적정책구비료모충가능성，인위인구홍리적축점소실화노동력공구적역전가능성위제고퇴휴년령적추력，이양로금제도적노령화위궤칙성위제고퇴휴년령적랍력。재현실조건하，고필저일정책대성진취업적충격이급노동력이질성적영향，응해실시점진완만、축보제고퇴휴년령적정책。
China＇ s low fertility combined with increase in average life expectancy is leading to disappearing demographic dividend and population aging crisis. In this case, we may have a policy choice to raise the retirement age. Beacuse the disappearing of demographic dividend gradually and the reversal of labur supply and demand may be the driving force of raising the retire- ment age, and the payment crisis of pension system which caused by the population aging may be the pulling force of raising the retirement age. If we consider the impact of this policy on ur- ban employment and the labor heterogeneity in current conditions, we should carry out the prac- tical policy which raise the retirement age slowly progressive and gradually.