CAJ | 학술논문

移动通信作为信息流动的便捷有效媒介和载体，在信息化和经济发展过程中扮演越来越重要的基础支撑作用，其发展的区域均衡性对区域协调发展具有重要意义。然而，我国移动通信产业发展出现了明显的区域差距。本文对Mansfield模型进行了改进，克服了Harald＆Frank（2000）提出的发展过程中饱和参数不可估难题，成功评估了我国不同地区移动通信发展的路径差异，并考察了相应的扩散影响机制。研究结果表明，投资在该产业起步阶段具有主要作用，而通信资费、收入、城市化水平则是决定发展速度和最终发展水平的主要因素，要缓解数字鸿沟，实现产业区域协调发展，须提升中西部对移动通信的有效需求。
이동통신작위신식류동적편첩유효매개화재체，재신식화화경제발전과정중분연월래월중요적기출지탱작용，기발전적구역균형성대구역협조발전구유중요의의。연이，아국이동통신산업발전출현료명현적구역차거。본문대Mansfield모형진행료개진，극복료Harald＆Frank（2000）제출적발전과정중포화삼수불가고난제，성공평고료아국불동지구이동통신발전적로경차이，병고찰료상응적확산영향궤제。연구결과표명，투자재해산업기보계단구유주요작용，이통신자비、수입、성시화수평칙시결정발전속도화최종발전수평적주요인소，요완해수자홍구，실현산업구역협조발전，수제승중서부대이동통신적유효수구。
As an effective and convenient medium for information communication, mobile communication plays more and more important role in the economic system, and the equilibrium of which has a considerable impact on harnmnious development between districts. However, Mobile communication in China shows serious imbalances in different regions. This paper improves Mansfield＇s model and overcomes the difficulty of estimating the terminal saturated rate before the end of diffusion, and achieves to describe as well as demonstrate the different development paths and related mechanisms of mobile telecommunications in China＇s different districts. The study indicates that investment plays a vital role in the starting period, while income, price and citization level determine the final development level. In order to alleviate the digital gap and achieve harmonious development, it is vital to increase the effective demand for mobile communication.