首都经济贸易大学学报
首都經濟貿易大學學報
수도경제무역대학학보
Journal of Capital University of Economics and Business
2011年
6期
72~76
,共null页
住房价格 宣告效应 事件研究
住房價格 宣告效應 事件研究
주방개격 선고효응 사건연구
announcement effect; housing price; event study
2009年下半年以后,尤其是在2010年初国务院《关于推进海南国际旅游岛建设发展的若干意见》宣布前后,海南省部分城市住房价格波动明显。本文尝试把国内外关于宣告效应的研究引入到中国住房市场价格这一领域,回顾了国外相关文献,并借鉴金融领域广泛使用的事件研究方法,得出了海南国际旅游岛建设政策对海南部分城市住房价格变动具有显著的正宣告效应这一结论。
2009年下半年以後,尤其是在2010年初國務院《關于推進海南國際旅遊島建設髮展的若榦意見》宣佈前後,海南省部分城市住房價格波動明顯。本文嘗試把國內外關于宣告效應的研究引入到中國住房市場價格這一領域,迴顧瞭國外相關文獻,併藉鑒金融領域廣汎使用的事件研究方法,得齣瞭海南國際旅遊島建設政策對海南部分城市住房價格變動具有顯著的正宣告效應這一結論。
2009년하반년이후,우기시재2010년초국무원《관우추진해남국제여유도건설발전적약간의견》선포전후,해남성부분성시주방개격파동명현。본문상시파국내외관우선고효응적연구인입도중국주방시장개격저일영역,회고료국외상관문헌,병차감금융영역엄범사용적사건연구방법,득출료해남국제여유도건설정책대해남부분성시주방개격변동구유현저적정선고효응저일결론。
Since the second half year of 2009, especially around the early 2010 when the State Council re- leased "Opinions on Propelling Construction of Hainan as an International Tourism Destination", the housing prices of some cities in Hainan province has obviously fluctuated. This paper attempts to introduce the study of the announcement effect at domestic and abroad into the area of China's housing price. First of all, we review the rela- tive literatures; secondly, by using the event study methodology which has been widely used in finance we make a quantitative analysis on the effects of policy announcement upon housing prices in some cities in Hainan. Finally,we get some relative conclusions.