系统工程理论与实践
繫統工程理論與實踐
계통공정이론여실천
Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice
2011年
11期
2140~2150
,共null页
陈波 于泠 刘君亭 褚为民
陳波 于泠 劉君亭 褚為民
진파 우령 류군정 저위민
网络舆情 泛在媒体 传染病模型 Wiki
網絡輿情 汎在媒體 傳染病模型 Wiki
망락여정 범재매체 전염병모형 Wiki
internet public opinion; ubiquitous media environments; epidemic model; Wiki
正逐步形成的泛在媒体环境深刻影响着网络舆情的传播与控制.将传统的传染病模型推广到泛在蝶体环境这样一个开放系统中,建立了新的带直接免疫的SEIR舆情传播控制模型,新模型克服了已有网络舆情传播模型存在的对网民个体状态处理过于简单,对舆情传播媒介的处理过于简化等缺陷.证明了模型的传播平衡点及稳定性,提出了从网络舆情传播环境入手,在舆情形成初期进行干预的控制方法.据此,构建了基于Wiki技术的网络舆情传播控制平台,对该平台的舆情传播控制效能做了仿真剖析,验证了控制方法的有效性.
正逐步形成的汎在媒體環境深刻影響著網絡輿情的傳播與控製.將傳統的傳染病模型推廣到汎在蝶體環境這樣一箇開放繫統中,建立瞭新的帶直接免疫的SEIR輿情傳播控製模型,新模型剋服瞭已有網絡輿情傳播模型存在的對網民箇體狀態處理過于簡單,對輿情傳播媒介的處理過于簡化等缺陷.證明瞭模型的傳播平衡點及穩定性,提齣瞭從網絡輿情傳播環境入手,在輿情形成初期進行榦預的控製方法.據此,構建瞭基于Wiki技術的網絡輿情傳播控製平檯,對該平檯的輿情傳播控製效能做瞭倣真剖析,驗證瞭控製方法的有效性.
정축보형성적범재매체배경심각영향착망락여정적전파여공제.장전통적전염병모형추엄도범재접체배경저양일개개방계통중,건립료신적대직접면역적SEIR여정전파공제모형,신모형극복료이유망락여정전파모형존재적대망민개체상태처리과우간단,대여정전파매개적처리과우간화등결함.증명료모형적전파평형점급은정성,제출료종망락여정전파배경입수,재여정형성초기진행간예적공제방법.거차,구건료기우Wiki기술적망락여정전파공제평태,대해평태적여정전파공제효능주료방진부석,험증료공제방법적유효성.
The gradual formation of the ubiquitous media environment has a profound effect on the dissemination and control of internet public opinion. This paper presents a novel propagation model with direct immune named SEIR, and the traditional epidemic model is generalized to the ubiquitous media environment. The existing models process the netizens' state and treat the propagation media of public opinion in rather simple ways. The proposed novel model has overcome the defects of the existing models. The equilibrium point and stability of the model are proved, and the evolution rules are analyzed. The given control methods are starting control from the internet public opinion environment, and have early intervention in the formation of public opinion. This paper then constructs an information propagation platform with self-purification capacity applying Wiki technology. The simulations to the opinion control efficacy of the platform are accomplished, so the effectiveness of the control methods in the internet public opinion is verified.