系统工程理论与实践
繫統工程理論與實踐
계통공정이론여실천
Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice
2011年
11期
2210~2216
,共null页
程贲 姜江 谭跃进 鲁延京
程賁 薑江 譚躍進 魯延京
정분 강강 담약진 로연경
武器装备体系 能力需求满足度 证据推理 信度规则库 信度结构
武器裝備體繫 能力需求滿足度 證據推理 信度規則庫 信度結構
무기장비체계 능력수구만족도 증거추리 신도규칙고 신도결구
weapon system of systems; capability requirement satisfactory degree; evidential reasoning; belief rule base; belief structure
武器装备体系能力需求满足度评估中存在底层指标类型多样、评估信息不确定的问题．针对这一问题，提出了一种基于证据推理的满足度评估方法．该方法首先构造信度规则库，然后将多种类型的不确定性数据转换成统一的信度结构，最后通过证据推理方法获得能力需求满足度分布．文末，以陆上区域防空武器装备体系能力需求满足度评估为例说明该方法的运用和优点．
武器裝備體繫能力需求滿足度評估中存在底層指標類型多樣、評估信息不確定的問題．針對這一問題，提齣瞭一種基于證據推理的滿足度評估方法．該方法首先構造信度規則庫，然後將多種類型的不確定性數據轉換成統一的信度結構，最後通過證據推理方法穫得能力需求滿足度分佈．文末，以陸上區域防空武器裝備體繫能力需求滿足度評估為例說明該方法的運用和優點．
무기장비체계능력수구만족도평고중존재저층지표류형다양、평고신식불학정적문제．침대저일문제，제출료일충기우증거추리적만족도평고방법．해방법수선구조신도규칙고，연후장다충류형적불학정성수거전환성통일적신도결구，최후통과증거추리방법획득능력수구만족도분포．문말，이륙상구역방공무기장비체계능력수구만족도평고위례설명해방법적운용화우점．
Various types of low-level indexes and uncertainty of evaluation information exist in weapon system of systems （WSoS） capability requirement satisfactory evaluation. To solve this problem, a novel evaluation methodology using evidence reasoning is proposed. It firstly builds rule base with belief structure and transforms input information to a pre-defined form, then calculates the activation weight of input, after that using evidence reasoning for index aggregation to get the final assessment distribution. Area air-defense WSoS capability requirement satisfactory degree evaluation is investigated to illustrate the usage of the methodology and its advantages.
