CAJ | 학술논문

从农户微观角度出发，以Hoovering模型为基础，建立了基于熵值法和层次分析法的农户农业旱灾脆弱性综合评价指标体系和评价模型，并利用其对湖北省襄阳市曾都区的农户调查数据进行了实证分析，结果表明：农田水利设施较好、地势平坦、家庭收入水平较高的村落，农户的整体农业旱灾脆弱性相对较低；农业贷款对农户的农业旱灾脆弱性有显著影响，灾害补贴对农户的农业旱灾脆弱性影响不显著。由此，提出降低易旱地区农户的农业旱灾脆弱性的建议：加强易旱地区的农田水利基础设施建设，特别是要加强基础水源工程建设进程；在易旱地区要加大农业贷款、农业保险、抗旱节水技术推广等惠农政策的力度。
종농호미관각도출발，이Hoovering모형위기출，건립료기우적치법화층차분석법적농호농업한재취약성종합평개지표체계화평개모형，병이용기대호북성양양시증도구적농호조사수거진행료실증분석，결과표명：농전수리설시교호、지세평탄、가정수입수평교고적촌락，농호적정체농업한재취약성상대교저；농업대관대농호적농업한재취약성유현저영향，재해보첩대농호적농업한재취약성영향불현저。유차，제출강저역한지구농호적농업한재취약성적건의：가강역한지구적농전수리기출설시건설，특별시요가강기출수원공정건설진정；재역한지구요가대농업대관、농업보험、항한절수기술추엄등혜농정책적력도。
Based on the micro-perspective and hovering model, this paper, using AHP and Entropy Methods, constructs the comprehensive evaluation index system and evaluation model of agricultural drought disaster vulnerability. In addition, this paper makes an emprical analysis on survey data from the households of Zengdu District,Xiangyang City. The result shows that villages with better farming irrigation facilities, flat terrain and the higher family income have lower-degree level of vulnerability of agri- cultural drought disaster; agricultural loans have significant impact on farmers~ vulnerability of agricul- tural drought disaster, while disaster subsidies have not obvious impact on agricultural drought disaster vulnerability. Therefore, this paepr proposes several suggestions on how to reduce vulnerability of agricultural drought in drought-prone areas： to strengthen the infrastruetural construction of farmland and water conservancy in drought-prone areas, in particular, to strengthen water-based construction process; to increase the intensity of the preferential agricultural policy, such as agricultural loans, agricultural insurance and drought-resistant and water-saving technology in drought-prone areas.