中国人口资源与环境
中國人口資源與環境
중국인구자원여배경
China Polulation.Resources and Environment
2011年
12期
1~7
,共null页
毛显强 曾桉 胡涛 邢有凯 刘胜强
毛顯彊 曾桉 鬍濤 邢有凱 劉勝彊
모현강 증안 호도 형유개 류성강
技术减排措施 协同控制效应评价 火电行业
技術減排措施 協同控製效應評價 火電行業
기술감배조시 협동공제효응평개 화전행업
technological reduction measures; coordinate control effects assessment; thermal power industry
随着我国污染减排形势的日益严峻,采用协同控制措施实现多种污染物控制目标逐渐成为一种趋势,而合理评价减排措施的协同效应是正确选择协同控制措施和制定协同控制规划方案的基础。本研究首次从环境-经济-技术角度系统地提出了技术减排措施的协同控制效应评价方法,并以火电行业为案例进行分析。采用协同控制效应坐标系、污染物减排量交叉弹性(Elsa/b)分析和单位污染物减排成本等方法评价技术减排措施对SO2、NOx和CO2的协同控制效应,三种评价方法相互配合,可以帮助我们从多角度检验不同减排措施的协同效果。对火电行业技术减排措施进行协同控制效应坐标系和污染物减排量交叉弹性分析的结果表明,末端治理措施不具有协同性,而前端控制措施和过程控制措施具有较好的协同性。单位污染物减排成本评价的结果表明,末端治理措施优先度排序靠后,而前端控制措施和过程控制措施排序靠前,且针对不同污染物的排序结果有所不同。在进行协同减排方案设计和规划时,应根据决策需要选择适宜的评价方法,参考评价结果选择最为成本有效的措施。
隨著我國汙染減排形勢的日益嚴峻,採用協同控製措施實現多種汙染物控製目標逐漸成為一種趨勢,而閤理評價減排措施的協同效應是正確選擇協同控製措施和製定協同控製規劃方案的基礎。本研究首次從環境-經濟-技術角度繫統地提齣瞭技術減排措施的協同控製效應評價方法,併以火電行業為案例進行分析。採用協同控製效應坐標繫、汙染物減排量交扠彈性(Elsa/b)分析和單位汙染物減排成本等方法評價技術減排措施對SO2、NOx和CO2的協同控製效應,三種評價方法相互配閤,可以幫助我們從多角度檢驗不同減排措施的協同效果。對火電行業技術減排措施進行協同控製效應坐標繫和汙染物減排量交扠彈性分析的結果錶明,末耑治理措施不具有協同性,而前耑控製措施和過程控製措施具有較好的協同性。單位汙染物減排成本評價的結果錶明,末耑治理措施優先度排序靠後,而前耑控製措施和過程控製措施排序靠前,且針對不同汙染物的排序結果有所不同。在進行協同減排方案設計和規劃時,應根據決策需要選擇適宜的評價方法,參攷評價結果選擇最為成本有效的措施。
수착아국오염감배형세적일익엄준,채용협동공제조시실현다충오염물공제목표축점성위일충추세,이합리평개감배조시적협동효응시정학선택협동공제조시화제정협동공제규화방안적기출。본연구수차종배경-경제-기술각도계통지제출료기술감배조시적협동공제효응평개방법,병이화전행업위안례진행분석。채용협동공제효응좌표계、오염물감배량교차탄성(Elsa/b)분석화단위오염물감배성본등방법평개기술감배조시대SO2、NOx화CO2적협동공제효응,삼충평개방법상호배합,가이방조아문종다각도검험불동감배조시적협동효과。대화전행업기술감배조시진행협동공제효응좌표계화오염물감배량교차탄성분석적결과표명,말단치리조시불구유협동성,이전단공제조시화과정공제조시구유교호적협동성。단위오염물감배성본평개적결과표명,말단치리조시우선도배서고후,이전단공제조시화과정공제조시배서고전,차침대불동오염물적배서결과유소불동。재진행협동감배방안설계화규화시,응근거결책수요선택괄의적평개방법,삼고평개결과선택최위성본유효적조시。
As China's pollation control and emission reduction are in a grim situation,it is urgent to take coordinate control measures to reach the multi-pollutant control goal.Coordinate control effect assessment of the emissions reduction measures is the basis of choosing appropriate coordinate control measures and making control plan.In this paper,innovative methods are proposed to assess control effect of technological measures for emissions reduction and then applied to analyze reduction measures in thermal power industry.By methods of coordinate system of coordinate control effects,cross elasticity of pollutant reduction(Elsalb) and unit / marginal pollutant reduction cost,the coordinate effects of technological measures for emissions reduction on SO2,NOx and CO2.The results of coordinate system of coordinate control effects and Elsa/b show that end-of-pipe control measures do not have coordinate control effects,while other measures,including front-end control measures and in-the-process control measures,can reduce SO2,NOx and CO2 emtssions simultaneously,and then have coordinate control advantage.Moreover,the unit/marginal pollutant reduction cost accounting also shows that end-of-pipe measures are in less priority than the front-end measures and in-the-process control measures.We suggest that policy makers should use appropriate assessment methods according to their policy targets,and then choose the most cost-effective reduction measures in making coordinate control plan.