财经研究
財經研究
재경연구
The Study of Finance and Economics
2012年
1期
27~37
,共null页
共享式增长 公共支出 贫困的增长弹性
共享式增長 公共支齣 貧睏的增長彈性
공향식증장 공공지출 빈곤적증장탄성
inclusive growth; public expenditure; poverty elasticity ofgrowth (PEG)
文章首先基于多维贫困指标SHPI构建了共享式增长指数PEG,然后运用公共支出、政府治理水平和部门效应三个方面的指标来考察共享式增长。文章具体通过协整和误差修正模型分析了长期和短期影响共享式增长的主要因素及其调整机制,并在此基础上重点估计了各部门公共支出对共享式增长的影响。文章发现1978—2008年中国经济增长总体上具有共享性,但是大部分年份的共享程度较低。长期内,在公共支出、部门效应和政府治理水平三大类因素中公共支出方面的三个变量对PEG的影响最大。短期内,政府一般性支出和政府规模对共享式增长程度有非常显著的消极影响。
文章首先基于多維貧睏指標SHPI構建瞭共享式增長指數PEG,然後運用公共支齣、政府治理水平和部門效應三箇方麵的指標來攷察共享式增長。文章具體通過協整和誤差脩正模型分析瞭長期和短期影響共享式增長的主要因素及其調整機製,併在此基礎上重點估計瞭各部門公共支齣對共享式增長的影響。文章髮現1978—2008年中國經濟增長總體上具有共享性,但是大部分年份的共享程度較低。長期內,在公共支齣、部門效應和政府治理水平三大類因素中公共支齣方麵的三箇變量對PEG的影響最大。短期內,政府一般性支齣和政府規模對共享式增長程度有非常顯著的消極影響。
문장수선기우다유빈곤지표SHPI구건료공향식증장지수PEG,연후운용공공지출、정부치리수평화부문효응삼개방면적지표래고찰공향식증장。문장구체통과협정화오차수정모형분석료장기화단기영향공향식증장적주요인소급기조정궤제,병재차기출상중점고계료각부문공공지출대공향식증장적영향。문장발현1978—2008년중국경제증장총체상구유공향성,단시대부분년빈적공향정도교저。장기내,재공공지출、부문효응화정부치리수평삼대류인소중공공지출방면적삼개변량대PEG적영향최대。단기내,정부일반성지출화정부규모대공향식증장정도유비상현저적소겁영향。
Firstly, this paper constructs inclusive growth index based on multidimensional poverty index and employs indices concerning public expenditure, government governance and sector effects to study inclusive growth. Then it analyzes the short-term and long-term determinants of inclusive growth through co-integration model and error correction model, and focuses on the effects of sector public expenditure on inclusive growth. It shows that the economic growth in China from 1978 to 2008 is featured by inclusiveness as a whole, but the inclusive degree is low in most years. In the long run,the effect of public expenditure on PEG is the largest; in the short run, general government expenditure and government scale have significantly negative effects on the degree of inclusive growth.