CAJ | 학술논문

近来国际粮食价格大幅上涨，粮食问题关系着我国十几亿人口的温饱，分析国际粮食价格对我国通货膨胀的影响有非常重要的意义。粮食价格乃百价之基，必须慎重对待国际粮食价格持续上涨对我国通货膨胀的冲击。文章通过Granger因果关系、协整关系检验首先验证我国粮食价格对国内通货膨胀的影响，然后验证国际粮食价格对我国粮食价格的影响，从而间接推断出国际粮食价格会对我国通货膨胀率产生影响。
근래국제양식개격대폭상창，양식문제관계착아국십궤억인구적온포，분석국제양식개격대아국통화팽창적영향유비상중요적의의。양식개격내백개지기，필수신중대대국제양식개격지속상창대아국통화팽창적충격。문장통과Granger인과관계、협정관계검험수선험증아국양식개격대국내통화팽창적영향，연후험증국제양식개격대아국양식개격적영향，종이간접추단출국제양식개격회대아국통화팽창솔산생영향。
Recently, international grain price rises sharply. Grain is related to more than one billion peopleJs life in China, so the analysis of international grain price impact on Chinese inflation is very important. Grain price is the base price of all commodities＂ price; the impact of international grain price on Chinese inflation should be taken into consideration seriously. In this paper, granger causality test and co-integration test were used to verify that whether Chinese grain price had any impacts on domestic inflation and whether international grain price would affect Chinese grain price, in order to indirectly inferred the international grain price would impact the inflation rate of China.