CAJ | 학술논문

笔者在Barro的政府规模与经济增长理论基础上，引入经济波动以反映政府支出规模对经济活动的干预，利用中国28个省（市、自治区）1979年-2008年的面板数据，检验了政府支出规模与经济波动对经济增长的影响。研究结果发现，我国地方政府支出规模与经济波动对区域经济增长都产生了负效应，且经济波动比政府支出规模对区域经济增长的负效应更大。因此，政府在追求经济高速增长的同时，要更加注重保持经济增长的稳定性。
필자재Barro적정부규모여경제증장이론기출상，인입경제파동이반영정부지출규모대경제활동적간예，이용중국28개성（시、자치구）1979년-2008년적면판수거，검험료정부지출규모여경제파동대경제증장적영향。연구결과발현，아국지방정부지출규모여경제파동대구역경제증장도산생료부효응，차경제파동비정부지출규모대구역경제증장적부효응경대。인차，정부재추구경제고속증장적동시，요경가주중보지경제증장적은정성。
Based on Barro＇ s theory on government size and economic growth,the authors introduced economic fluctuation to reflect the intervention of government expenditure size in economic activities, and tested the impacts of both government expenditure size and eco- nomic fluctuation on economic growth with the panel data of 28 Chinese provinces,municipalities and autonomous regions from 1979 to 2008. The findings of empirical research show that Chinese local government expenditure size and economic fluctuation both have negative effects on regional economic growth. Compared with the government expenditure size, the negative impact of economic fluctuation on regional economic growth is greater. So while pursuing rapid economic growth, the government should focus on the stability of eco-nomic growth.